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Geopolitics & Empire

Luca Anceschi: Kazakhstan Will Move Closer to Russia & Eurasian Integration

Geopolitics & Empire

Geopolitics & Empire

News, Politics, Government, History

4.2570 Ratings

🗓️ 15 January 2022

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Professor Luca Anceschi discusses recent events in Kazakhstan. We will never know if it was a revolution because the violence that ensued stopped the natural organic evolution of the protest movement into something that could have changed the political system. It’s been a good week for Putin and a watershed moment for Kazakh-Russia relations. We’re going to see a structural change where multi-vectorism will become a thing of the past, as Nursultan moves closer to Moscow and the Eurasian Economic Union (EAEU), which Putin views as an instrument of geopolitical domination. He believes what occurred was a result of a domestic coup or elite rivalry situation, as in the past it was discovered President Tokayev’s phone was being surveilled using Pegasus spyware. We discuss Nazarbayev’s cult of personality, what consequences there might be for the region, and the road ahead.

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Show Notes

Kazakhstan: Secrets, Lies, and Foreign Troops https://carnegieeurope.eu/strategiceurope/86172

Why Kazakhstan will not be returning to Russia’s fold https://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/01/13/why-kazakhstan-will-not-be-returning-russias-fold

Websites

University of Glasgow https://www.gla.ac.uk/schools/socialpolitical/staff/lucaanceschi/#biography

Twitter https://twitter.com/anceschistan

About Luca Anceschi

Luca Anceschi is professor of Eurasian Studies at the University of Glasgow, where he is also the editor of the journal Europe-Asia Studies.

*Podcast intro music is from the song “The Queens Jig” by “Musicke & Mirth” from their album “Music for Two Lyra Viols”: http://musicke-mirth.de/en/recordings.html (available on iTunes or Amazon)

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

The Geopolitics and Empire podcast is joined by Professor of Eurasian Studies, Luca Ancheski,

0:06.0

who teaches at the University of Glasgow.

0:08.8

Bonjourno, Luca.

0:09.7

How are things in Scotland?

0:11.9

Okay.

0:12.5

Thanks a lot.

0:13.9

All right.

0:14.4

I've been following your work, and I wasn't aware.

0:17.8

My previous guest was actually your student, so that's pretty cool.

0:22.3

You had actually a point that you wanted to start out with, so, you know, why don't we start there?

0:27.9

Well, I want to make two points, as I would say to you just before we started, to introductory points.

0:34.7

The first one relates to domestic politics in Kazakhstan and the second

0:39.4

one relates to foreign policy. And from where I stand, these are the two most important conclusions

0:47.5

that we can draw now, I mean, 10 days after the events. So the massive politics first, was that a revolution?

0:59.7

We will never know.

1:01.1

We will never know because we've seen that there was localized protests about the

1:10.0

sort of economic discontent,

1:13.0

which then snowballed into something wider, something bigger,

1:16.7

pre-de-post-Kazakhstan, began to expand not only its demand,

1:23.6

but also the bandwidth of its appeal.

1:26.7

So you are people across the street in very large numbers,

1:30.5

unprecedented numbers.

...

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