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The Politics Guys

Longest Shutdown Ever, National Emergency(?), Leaving Syria

The Politics Guys

Michael Baranowski

Politics, News

4.5 • 772 Ratings

🗓️ 12 January 2019

⏱️ 51 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Mike and Will open with a continued discussion of the government shutdown. With employees now not receiving pay for the first time, it feels as if it has reached a new level of seriousness. Neither Mike nor Will see an easy path to the shutdown coming to a close, although they do agree with the premise of Rob Portman’s proposed legislation to prevent future shutdowns. Then they turn to a more detailed discussion of Trump’s first Oval Office address. Discussion focuses on both the idea of the address and its overall substance—including considering the pros and cons of building a wall. While neither are entirely convinced the address deserved national play, Will believes it was one of Trump’s better addresses while Mike still questions Trump’s use of facts—especially when speaking off-the-cuff and in campaign mode. Both agree that there isn’t an inherent media bias in allowing Trump to make this address while not airing Obama’s 2014 immigration address. Will believes part of the decision related to timing and Trump’s lack of previous Oval Office addresses while Mike adds that the uncertainty surrounding what Trump might say is good for viewership. From an effectiveness perspective, both Mike and Will raise doubt on whether a full border wall will have the desired impact. Mike believes stronger border control through agents or electronic monitoring would do just as much good while Will believes the symbolism of a wall is as important as its function. Will does argue that criminal activity by individuals who come across the border with the sole intent of immediately returning to Mexico could be thwarted by a physical wall. Finally, they turn to Trump’s decision to withdraw from Syria. Beyond just examining the possible impact of withdrawal, they discuss the reasons for a slow withdrawal, why the United States was ever interested in Syria to begin, and the future of our relationship with Turkey. Mike argues that a rushed withdrawal could lead to long-term issues in the already complex region while Will worries about whether Turkey can actually be trusted to execute at this time. Listener support helps make The Politics Guys possible. If you’re interested in supporting the show, go to politicsguys.com/support. Support this podcast at — https://redcircle.com/the-politics-guys/donationsAdvertising Inquiries: https://redcircle.com/brandsPrivacy & Opt-Out: https://redcircle.com/privacy Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to the politics, guys, a place for bipartisan, rational, and civil debate on American politics and policy.

0:05.6

I'm Will Miller, a political scientist, now employed as an associate vice president with campus labs.

0:10.0

And with me today is Michael Baranowski, a political scientist at Northern Kentucky University.

0:14.4

Morning, Mike. How are you doing?

0:15.7

I'm doing okay. I'll bet you, Will.

0:17.6

I'm doing pretty well. It's been obviously a a week of very interesting

0:23.0

happenings I feel like nothing you know somewhere I look at the week and I'm like there's

0:27.0

nothing earth shattering and there's nothing quote unquote major in terms of development but

0:32.8

we still have you know a lot of the same issues that have been percolating for the last two or three

0:37.8

weeks still showing up. Yeah. Longest shutdown ever, for instance. Yeah. Yeah. I mean, it's, it's funny.

0:43.5

I mean, I think we might as well dive into the shutdown, honestly. I mean, I think talking about what's

0:47.3

happening, there's going to be important. And it does seem like not just being the longest in terms of time, but I feel like this week it hit kind of a

0:55.8

new fever with some people because obviously we now have all of the images floating around

1:01.0

of I work 65 hours and netted $0 and pay kind of officially happening. So it's no longer this

1:07.6

abstract concept. And I think that obviously, you know, kind of ups the seriousness,

1:13.3

even for unattached outsiders.

1:16.3

Yeah, absolutely.

1:17.4

I mean, that's when you see those pay stubs with zero on them,

1:21.3

that makes it an entirely different thing.

1:25.2

And, you know, to me, there are a couple of things that occur to me about

1:29.0

this is, number one, once again, you know, I think had Donald Trump planned this, Donald Trump

1:36.5

is, as you know, well, he's not a planner, right? But it seemed like as soon as or as recently

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