Liz Ann Sonders on the Rolling Recession
Motley Fool Hidden Gems Investing
The Motley Fool
4.3 • 3.1K Ratings
🗓️ 13 January 2024
⏱️ 32 minutes
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| 0:17.6 | The headlines are always payrolls and then the unemployment rate, but more often than not the details under the surface of those two headlines tell a better story than just those headlines and alongside the uptick in wage growth was actually another move down in hours worked. |
| 0:31.0 | I'm Mary Long and that's Liz and Saunders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab. Dieder Willard caught up with Saunders to go beyond the economic headlines. |
| 0:34.9 | They discuss holiday spending and the ascent of Buy Now Pay Later, the rise of part-time work, |
| 0:40.4 | and why investors should be careful when drawing conclusions from past averages. |
| 0:48.8 | Well, let's start by looking a little bit back at 2023 |
| 0:52.9 | and sort of just a quick thing |
| 0:55.3 | about what surprised you most about the year. |
| 0:58.6 | Well, coming into the year, |
| 1:00.4 | there was a decent amount of momentum associated with what's called the average stock, you know, |
| 1:05.9 | equal weight doing fairly well relative to cap weight, and we had expected that to persist a bit more into the year. |
| 1:13.5 | And I think the really what prompted what became an incredibly concentrated market |
| 1:19.2 | with rightly so all the attention on the Magnificent 7 and just how dominant they became that |
| 1:25.2 | really started in mid-March not coincidentally at the same timing as the banking |
| 1:31.3 | crisis and I think that that initially just fueled an interest |
| 1:35.7 | in the mega cap companies that had strong balance sheets |
| 1:39.0 | that weren't going to be at the mercy |
| 1:40.5 | of any significant problems in the financial system, which that didn't become a |
| 1:44.4 | contagious event, of course, and then it was, I guess, exacerbated by all of the interest in AI. So it was that that concentration kicked in |
| 1:55.9 | in such rapid fashion and persisted throughout the year |
| 2:00.5 | was the biggest market surprise. |
| 2:02.3 | Obviously, geopolitics these days, the, you know, Israel-Hamass |
| 2:07.2 | war was the biggest external surprise. |
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