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Advisory Opinions

Litigation and Taxes

Advisory Opinions

The Dispatch

News, Government, Politics

4.74K Ratings

🗓️ 28 September 2020

⏱️ 74 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Several new polls were released over the weekend and Donald Trump is still trailing Joe Biden by roughly 7 to 10 points, depending where you look. Despite Biden’s steady lead, bad takes abound in the journalism world. “Here’s what happens when a race is not particularly close on the numbers,” Sarah explains. “People in the media try to make it more interesting by finding tea leaves and little nuggets that no one else has found and then blowing those up into their own narrative.” Sarah says it’s not always that the methodology of a particular poll is bad per se, “it’s that the causal relationship between the question and the result is assumed and not actually there.” For example, a series of polls from this weekend show that a majority of Americans oppose Trump’s decision to fill the late Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s Supreme Court seat before November 3. But as Sarah points out, this is a dumb survey question for two reasons: 1) the answers break down along party lines when you look a little closer at the survey responses, and 2) it doesn’t ask survey respondents whether it will change their vote, which is the only thing that matters at this point. That leads us to the New York Times’ bombshell report on Trump’s tax returns and whether it will be of any consequence during this election. David and Sarah argue that loyal Trump supporters are simply too attached to the president at this point to care about any new scandals that emerge between now and November 3. Tune in to this episode for an update on presidential polling in battleground states, electoral litigation in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania, and a fun conversation about our podcast hosts’ favorite new documentaries. Show Notes: -New York Times/Siena College poll, Washington Post-ABC News poll, FiveThirtyEight polling averages in Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan. -The New York Times’ report on Trump’s tax returns, Purcell v. Gonzalez. -Republican party of Pennsylvania filed court documents over the Pennsylvania Supreme Court’s Sept. 17 rulings. -David’s French Press: “It’s Time for ‘Pandemic Law’ to End”, “The Social Dilemma” Netflix documentary and “The Real Story of Paris Hilton.” Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

You ready?

0:02.0

I was born ready.

0:04.0

Welcome to the Advisory Opinions Podcast. This is David French with Sarah Isger.

0:24.0

I think I got to come up with another phrase, Sarah, then action-packed pod.

0:30.0

I was going back and doing quality control listening to make sure our podcast is good.

0:38.0

Spoiler alert, it's awesome.

0:42.0

I think good is what if you had decided otherwise.

0:46.0

I know. I know. Well, this would be a very different podcast because we'd be making like all these radical changes.

0:50.0

Yeah.

0:51.0

But fortunately, full steam ahead.

0:54.0

But anyway, it is an action-packed pod.

0:58.0

We're going to talk polling.

1:00.0

Sarah has thoughts. I have thoughts.

1:02.0

We're going to talk about the revelations uncovered by the New York Times as it obtained an awful lot of Donald Trump's tax information.

1:14.0

We're going to talk about some of the pending election cases.

1:18.0

And we're also going to talk about the social dilemma, a Netflix documentary about the influence of social media on our lives that I think at last count about 20 of our readers slash listeners asked me to watch because of my work on polarization in related to my book, my book divided we fall Amazon.com.

1:42.0

And we're going to talk about that.

1:44.0

And we're also going to talk about a documentary that I haven't seen that Sarah says I have to see, but you're going to have to remain in suspense to learn the incredibly high-minded historical.

1:56.0

Very substantive, important to American history.

2:00.0

Vital to American history, I would say.

2:02.0

Yeah, yeah, probably more culturally impactful than all of social media put together.

2:08.0

Maybe.

...

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