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Cato Podcast

Libertarians Spoiled 2020 for Donald Trump?

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

Immigration, News, News Commentary, Peace, 424708, Markets, Government, Libertarian, Policy, Politics, Cato, Defense

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 9 November 2020

⏱️ 13 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In close races, any Libertarian candidate attracting enough votes can get tagged as a "spoiler." It's not clear that's what happened in 2020's race for the White House. David Boaz explains.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Monday, November 9th, 2020.

0:07.0

I'm Caleb Brown.

0:08.2

Did libertarians spoil 2020 for Donald Trump and effectively hand the presidency to Joe Biden.

0:15.6

Many Republicans seem to think so and have taken to social media and the airwaves to air those

0:20.6

grievances.

0:21.6

But as Cato's David Bowes points out, it's still not exactly clear what happened.

0:27.0

In at least four closely contested races for electoral college votes for the president.

0:36.3

The Libertarian candidate Joe Jorgensen exceeded significantly the difference between Joe Biden and Donald Trump.

0:48.0

And in those four states that Joe Biden won, some people are saying, hey, the Libertarian quote unquote

0:56.0

spoiled this election that otherwise would have gone to Donald Trump. So how do we begin to evaluate that kind of

1:06.4

claim and and what assumptions go into that claim? Well there's a few things going on there. First, four years ago

1:16.0

about 8 million voters voted for someone other than Trump or Clinton and the

1:20.6

Libertarian Gary Johnson got more than half of that.

1:23.7

This year, it looks like only about 3 million,

1:26.7

2% of the vote did not go to Biden or Trump,

1:30.8

and Jorgensen, again, getting somewhat more than half of that about 1.2% this time.

1:37.0

So there's a there's a body of voters that in a close election both of close elections, could have made the difference.

1:45.0

Now what I found was that on Wednesday morning when Trump was up in the early counts of in-person voting, Democrats

1:55.8

were yelling at libertarians on Twitter saying you jerks kept Trump in office

2:00.1

because it's like they were assuming that the libertarians would have voted for

2:03.7

Biden if they hadn't voted the Libertarian. And then when Biden moved ahead in the

2:09.1

states you're referring to, conservatives on Facebook were complaining that libertarians cost Trump the election.

...

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