Hello and welcome to episode 906 of the official Establish the Run.com podcast.

My name is Adam Levitan. I am one of the co-founders here at ETR and we're coming off of a

predicting game environment is hard kind of week. Yes, that's right. One way to win DFS tournaments

in week one was simply play Justin Fields.

One of the best runners at the quarterback position in the history of the NFL,

just play him at 1% with Garrett Wilson and you're in the mix.

But no, no, I couldn't do that because of game environment.

Because I thought Jet Steelers would be an ugly struggle to get first downs,

messy kind of game, just like everyone else thought.

And yes, even if that's the most likely outcome for the game environment,

some ugly game where Fields takes a ton of sacks and turns it over,

and it can only muster 120 passing

yards. When we're playing DFS tournaments, I often run into the issue of thinking too narrowly

about how games will go. Think too much about actual football and matchups and not enough about

the game we're playing, which is DFS tournaments.

So after being on Justin Fields all summer through the drafting process, I mean, the dude even

made my perfect draft article, I didn't play fields on any of my nine tournament teams in

week one, which really frustrated me because now it's too late.

I mean, it's not too late, but it's not as good. Fields is going to be more expensive

and more owned for these next four games against the bills, bucks, dolphins, cowboys.

The play simply won't be as strong. And I know you're thinking, how can we identify

these spots going forward? Spots where the field and myself are just completely not waving

...