Levitan's Solo Pod: Best Ball Update At The Halfway Point + Your Listener Questions (Episode 924 with Adam Levitan)

Establish The Run Fantasy Football

Fantasy Football

Fantasy Sports, Sports

4.8 • 1.4K Ratings

🗓️ 20 October 2025

⏱️ 25 minutes

🔗️ Recording | iTunes | RSS

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Adam Levitan breaks down Week 7 in NFL DFS which saw some chalk go nuclear and have huge implications on the slate, before tackling a new batch of hard-hitting listener questions.

Links mentioned in the episode:

Timestamps:

0:00 - Introduction

0:27 - Adam’s Best Ball Hindsights

6:34 - Adam’s Cash Game Week in Review

9:51 - Listener Questions

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Transcript

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0:00.0	Hello and welcome to episode 924 of the official Establish the Run.com podcast.
0:23.5	My name is Adam Levittan. I am one of the co-founders here at ETR, and we are coming off of a
0:28.3	I was too overconfident during best ball season kind of week. Yes, that's right. As we hit the
0:36.5	halfway point of the fantasy regular season,
0:39.1	I want to take some time to evaluate the summer drafting that we spent so much time on from
0:44.7	May through September. And I got to say, I'm actually really, really happy with my exposures,
0:53.1	my fades, my teams overall. Obviously, I got a ton of stuff
0:57.3	wrong. Anyone who says they got everything right is a lying clown, idiot who will never be a winner.
1:03.6	But so far at least, for me, way more good than bad in terms of what I did during drafting season, except for one thing.
1:13.8	And that one thing was being way too overconfident in a certain round two three pick.
1:20.4	And this isn't even about the player.
1:22.5	And I'll get to the player in a second.
1:24.3	But it's more to me about portfolio strategy and diversification when drafting
1:28.8	a lot of fantasy teams. I did 159 best ball drafts between draft kings and underdog over the
1:37.5	summer. I ended up with 28.7% Chase Brown in terms of fees.
1:48.0	Forget for a second what you think about the player.
1:54.8	The round two, round three picks, they are so tightly bunched in fantasy point projection.
1:57.1	The market is getting sharper.
2:00.0	There aren't like egregious round two, round three picks anymore.
2:02.0	There's just no reason to think that a certain round two, round three pick is that much better than the others. And also for best ball,
2:10.7	where all the money is at the end, diversification in the roulette wheel of who smashes in weeks 15, 16, 17, that's valuable as well.
2:20.7	Now, I think as you go down the board, you can take more and more stands. There are more and more
	...

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