Let's talk about what Trump is being told by the bond market....
Belle of the Ranch
Belle of the Ranch
4.9 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 22 January 2025
⏱️ 4 minutes
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Summary
Let's talk about what Trump is being told by the bond market....
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Well, howdy there, internet people, it's Bell again. So today, we're going to talk about Trump |
| 0:07.5 | and what bonds are telling him. Republicans held a closed-door meeting a few days ago. The topic of |
| 0:14.5 | discussion was what the bond market was doing and how it might tank Trump's tax cut agenda. |
| 0:23.8 | Extending Trump's tax cuts will cut government revenue by an estimated $4 trillion or so over the next 10 years. Currently, U.S. debt sits |
| 0:31.5 | at $36 trillion and is growing by $2 trillion per year. Last week, U.S. Treasury yields on 10-year bonds hit a high of 4.79%. |
| 0:44.0 | What does that mean? |
| 0:45.5 | Republican Representative Ralph Norman of South Carolina |
| 0:49.1 | summed it up pretty well when he said, quote, |
| 0:52.5 | the buyers of our bonds are getting nervous that we're at the point |
| 0:56.3 | that we cannot pay it back. That affects every one of us. Republican representative Andy Barr of |
| 1:03.7 | Kentucky provided a pretty accurate summary as well, saying, quote, the bond market is telling Congress that if we don't get our fiscal |
| 1:13.1 | house in order, everybody's mortgage rates, everybody's credit card rates, everybody's auto loan rates |
| 1:20.4 | are going to continue to go up. So, what does this mean politically? The bond markets are sending a message. |
| 1:30.5 | If Republicans enact inflationary policies, which a lot of Trump's stated positions are, |
| 1:37.0 | bond vigilantes will probably emerge. |
| 1:40.4 | You might want to get familiar with that term. |
| 1:43.4 | Bond vigilantes are people who get worried about inflationary policies or debt risk, |
| 1:49.0 | and they want higher yields. |
| 1:52.0 | They sell their bonds, which sends yields up. |
| 1:55.0 | When yields go up, the cost of borrowing goes up. |
| 1:58.0 | That slows the economy. Everybody talks about the stock market, |
| 2:03.6 | but the stock market is mostly reactive. The bond market has the crystal ball. If they're |
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