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Beau of The Fifth Column

Let's talk about unemployment fears being higher than the great recession....

Beau of The Fifth Column

Beau of The Fifth Column

Society & Culture

4.8965 Ratings

🗓️ 20 August 2025

⏱️ 4 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Let's talk about unemployment fears being higher than the great recession....

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Well, howdy there, Internet people, it's Bell again.

0:05.0

So today, we're going to talk about unemployment fears being higher than the Great Recession.

0:12.0

So, we got a message and it's definitely worth going over because it showcases how the economy works and why we're in trouble in plain language.

0:23.8

Miss Bell, I'm sure you've seen the University of Michigan numbers about unemployment worries.

0:30.3

I'm curious why you think they're so high. I would guess you think they'll go up too.

0:36.6

But as of right now, they aren't, and inflation is down, and the PPI numbers haven't translated

0:43.1

into price increases.

0:45.4

I just don't understand the record high unemployment fears.

0:50.1

Yes, I watched the Michigan numbers.

0:52.9

And what they just told us is that more people are worried

0:56.6

about unemployment than at any point since the Great Recession. But that's also economists reading it,

1:04.5

not an exact number. Here's what you need to know. Generally, overall, going back for years and years and years, the baseline number for people

1:14.9

expecting unemployment to get worse over the next year is a bit over 20%.

1:20.3

It's currently 62%.

1:23.0

That's really, really high, but not actually a record.

1:30.1

In fact, it's been worse since Trump took office. The problem for economists is that when Trump took office, the number shot up to 50 or so

1:37.2

percent and haven't been below since. About 50 percent is in line with the spike that occurred over COVID. Yes, Trump is as damaging as a global

1:48.6

pandemic. The thing is, the COVID era 50% was a single month reading that high. We're now at

1:56.4

five or six months over 50%. So he's actually more damaging than a global pandemic.

2:03.3

The last time the numbers were this high for this long was the Great Recession. That's a drain.

2:10.6

If people are worried about unemployment, they tend to spend less. In fact, a different report also

2:17.3

from the University of Michigan shows that

...

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