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Belle of the Ranch

Let's talk about the models being wrong....

Belle of the Ranch

Belle of the Ranch

Society & Culture

4.91K Ratings

🗓️ 1 April 2020

⏱️ 6 minutes

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0:00.0

Well, howdy there internet people, it's Boa Gown.

0:05.0

So it is quite literally the calm before the storm here,

0:08.0

so you may hear some rain on the roof,

0:10.0

but that's kind of fitting, isn't it?

0:13.0

So today we're going to talk about mistakes,

0:15.0

misinterpreting data,

0:17.0

and because you've misinterpreted the data,

0:20.0

then you don't understand other things that are happening.

0:23.0

That's what we're going to talk about today because there are a lot of people doing

0:26.2

this right now.

0:29.4

There is a widespread inclination among some people to look at the current

0:35.5

predictions and current models and compare them to the initial ones and say

0:39.9

that those initial ones were way off base they They were way wrong. See, it was

0:44.0

overhiked. It was sensationalized. It was a media hoax. Because they want

0:51.5

to believe the president. That's what they want to believe the president.

0:53.5

That's what they want.

0:55.3

So they're going to disregard information

0:57.9

that is plain as day. The models are getting better. The predictions are getting better. Right now I think the current

1:06.2

one is looking at a hundred thousand gone. It's hard to think of a hundred thousand

1:10.9

gone as good. But in comparison to a month ago that's really good.

1:18.2

We're doing a great job, right? But then there's that other thing and that's that

1:25.0

the president is extending social distancing.

...

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