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Belle of the Ranch

Let's talk about pre-debate polling that matters....

Belle of the Ranch

Belle of the Ranch

Society & Culture

4.91K Ratings

🗓️ 10 September 2024

⏱️ 3 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Let's talk about pre-debate polling that matters....

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Well, howdy there internet people, it's Bell again. So today we're going to talk about a

0:05.8

pre-debate polling check-in. We're going to go over where the candidates stand as of right

0:11.1

now before the debate.

0:12.8

And then a few days after the debate,

0:15.1

once enough polling is conducted,

0:17.0

we'll revisit the topic.

0:19.1

It's important to understand that some polling

0:21.7

will be released after the debate that was conducted prior to

0:25.5

it happening. Okay so starting off top-line numbers. In nationwide polling Harris is up by 2.8 points. I know you're going to say that

0:36.7

you saw a poll this weekend that said Trump was ahead by a point or two. Yes, it's an

0:42.0

outlier at time of, which is Sunday night, it's the only

0:46.4

poll conducted this month listed in 538 polling average that found Trump with a lead. In fact, excluding that poll in one sponsored by Republicans,

0:56.0

you have to go back weeks to find one with Trump in the lead nationally.

1:01.0

It's weird that it was the one that got all the attention, right?

1:05.0

Swing states, Arizona, Trump up by half a point.

1:10.0

Georgia, Harris up by about a third of a point.

1:13.7

Nevada, Harris up by half a point.

1:16.9

North Carolina, Trump up by 8 tenths of a point.

1:21.2

Pennsylvania, Harris up by 6 tenths of a point. Pennsylvania, Harris up by six tenths of a point. Michigan, Harris up by 1.9 points.

1:29.7

Wisconsin, Harris up by 2.7 points. So those are the swing states. Just because people

1:37.2

always ask Texas is currently leaning Trump by 4.6 points. Now let's take a quick look at vibe polling.

1:45.0

That's what pollsters call,

...

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