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Belle of the Ranch

Let's talk about midterm math for Democrats....

Belle of the Ranch

Belle of the Ranch

Society & Culture

4.91K Ratings

🗓️ 11 May 2022

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

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Transcript

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0:00.0

If just thinking about your bills makes you feel confused and disorientated,

0:05.0

like your head is full of Raspberry,

0:08.0

then you need Monzo.

0:10.0

Download your new favorite bank and pay bills from custom pots.

0:15.0

Money never felt like Monzo.

0:18.0

UK residents, T's and C supply.

0:21.0

Well, howdy there, I don't know people it's bow again so today we are going to

0:25.9

talk about the math behind midterm elections and why're a moment for one party to come out on top if they put forth the effort.

0:41.0

Mid-term elections present an opportunity to shore up support, to gain seats, even in districts

0:51.4

that are gerrymandered. And we're going to go over the math on how

0:55.6

this works today. We're going to do this because in a recent video I mentioned

1:00.3

how running around saying Democrats don't do anything and they're not going to help

1:05.0

you might cause people not to vote and some people had an issue with this. I'm going to show why reducing voter turnout

1:16.2

during midterms is bad. We're going to take a hypothetical voting jurisdiction.

1:25.0

It has a hundred and sixty seven thousand voters in it.

1:30.0

We're using this to keep the math easy for me.

1:32.0

It is gerrymandered to give Republicans 55% of the vote

1:38.2

out of the gate. So Republicans get 55%, Democrats get 45%.

1:43.3

There's a 10-point lead built into this district

1:46.9

for Republicans.

1:49.1

Now, in a presidential election,

1:51.1

the year the president's being elected, voter turnout is about 60%,

...

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