Let's talk about mandates, majorities, and margins....
Belle of the Ranch
Belle of the Ranch
4.9 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 30 November 2024
⏱️ 4 minutes
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Summary
Let's talk about mandates, majorities, and margins....
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Well, howdy there, Internet people, it's fell again. |
| 0:04.3 | So today, we're going to talk about the incredible shrinking GOP majority and what it means for Trump's first 100 days. |
| 0:13.9 | Political commentators are trying to square the idea that Trump has a mandate when he also has a |
| 0:20.8 | House majority after a November election |
| 0:23.3 | that they're saying is the smallest since Hoover. It's a hard concept to square. If everything |
| 0:30.1 | holds and the current projections on results are correct, Republicans are likely to have a |
| 0:35.8 | 220 to 215 majority in the House. |
| 0:39.1 | To start with, then it drops. |
| 0:41.9 | With resignations related to Trump's nominations, |
| 0:44.9 | the majority will drop to 217 to 215. |
| 0:48.5 | That means one Republican defection on a vote is enough to stop it. |
| 0:53.7 | Assuming the Democratic Party holds the line, which is only a halfway safe assumption. |
| 1:00.0 | Given the controversial nature of some of Trump's policies, Republicans in vulnerable districts |
| 1:05.1 | may not go along with all of them, despite the post-election bliss or post-election blues, depending on which side you're on. |
| 1:14.6 | The election wasn't quite as decisive as some are making it. Now, once the special elections happen, |
| 1:22.2 | and those seats that opened up by the nomination process are filled. Republicans will probably get at least a couple |
| 1:29.5 | of those seats back. But that takes time. Incoming presidential administrations are typically |
| 1:36.6 | judged by their first 100 days. It definitely sets the tone. With a slim house majority, |
| 1:43.5 | it's going to be hard for Trump to pass |
| 1:46.1 | any major legislation. He'll still use executive orders like they're going out of style, |
| 1:51.9 | but the deeper changes are going to be very, very difficult. Everybody on the liberal side of the aisle |
| 1:59.1 | knows what happens with narrow majorities like this. |
... |
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