Let's talk about Iowa polling, Trump, and the GOP....
Belle of the Ranch
Belle of the Ranch
4.9 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 25 August 2023
⏱️ 6 minutes
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Summary
Let's talk about Iowa polling, Trump, and the GOP....
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Well, howdy there internet be Bolizboe again. So today we are going to talk about the |
| 0:05.4 | Iowa polls and what they mean. A whole lot of questions have come in about this and it makes sense because of this |
| 0:19.0 | and it makes sense because pretty much every news outlet is running with a different angle on the results of the polling. |
| 0:22.0 | Now on the results of the polling. Now this polling is of likely Iowa |
| 0:29.5 | caucus goers for the Republican Party. |
| 0:32.9 | That's who was polled. |
| 0:36.0 | Some of the reporting headlines like Trump has a commanding lead, |
| 0:40.2 | other headlines, an opening for his rivals, it goes back and forth, right? |
| 0:45.0 | We've talked about it before. |
| 0:47.0 | Polling this early on is really only useful for two things. |
| 0:52.0 | One, determining who the primary candidate that wins |
| 0:58.7 | might be, who the nominee will eventually be. It can kind of be used for that. And the other is to measure |
| 1:06.2 | enthusiasm surrounding candidates. And there's there's information here about all of that. |
| 1:17.0 | Okay, so out of those people polled 42% said that Trump was their first choice. They would prefer Trump. |
| 1:25.7 | 42% when you have this many candidates, that's enough to win. So it still looks |
| 1:32.4 | like Trump has a commanding lead. |
| 1:35.0 | That's where that headline comes from. |
| 1:38.0 | But he doesn't have a majority anymore. |
| 1:43.8 | So that's an opening for his rivals, right? |
| 1:48.8 | That's where it comes from. |
| 1:50.3 | The more interesting part is the part that isn't really getting covered, the stuff that can be used to gauge enthusiasm for the candidate, for Trump. |
| 2:01.0 | Because another question was asked during this polling. Should Trump |
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