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Belle of the Ranch

Let's talk about how tax refunds are unlikely to save Trump’s economy....

Belle of the Ranch

Belle of the Ranch

Society & Culture

4.91K Ratings

🗓️ 24 March 2026

⏱️ 5 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Let's talk about how tax refunds are unlikely to save Trump’s economy....

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Well, howdy there, Internet people, it's Bell again.

0:05.0

So today, we're going to talk about how tax refunds are unlikely to help Trump's economy.

0:13.0

A lot of economists, especially those hoping to spend the country's economic state for the benefit of the administration.

0:22.4

We're really hoping that tax refund season would provide a substantial boost to consumer spending

0:28.5

and therefore shroud the economy's health for another quarter.

0:33.9

They hoped the extra $370 or so that many Americans will see would be splurged.

0:41.5

However, Trump's war with Iran seems to have thrown a wrench into those plans.

0:48.0

According to Gas Buddy, early Friday morning, average gas prices have gone up 99 cents per gallon since last month,

0:59.2

and 24.8 cents since last week. That's going to eat into the expected splurge in spending.

1:07.6

When gas and diesel go up in a country that runs on trucks and vans for deliveries,

1:14.4

well, everything goes up.

1:17.5

That means the refund boost to big ticket items tends to evaporate.

1:22.7

That's on top of inflation coming in hot.

1:26.8

Paul Dietrich is the chief investment strategist at Wedbush Securities, and explained it pretty

1:33.2

clearly when he said, quote, when energy costs rise, consumers do not stop spending.

1:40.2

They just stop spending on what they want, and spend more on what they have to buy.

1:47.7

He's right. It's really that simple. Like most of Trump's policies, it hits those on the bottom first

1:55.5

and works its way up. Or as Dietrich put it in purely economic speak, quote, lower income households get

2:04.9

squeezed by fuel costs, while higher income households can also get hit if the stock markets

2:11.8

hit their asset values and stock market gains. The Iran War acts like a tax increase on the consumer, except nobody voted for it.

2:24.0

Now, if you're wondering what he means and how gas prices can hit the stock market, first,

2:31.1

you have increased overhead for the companies.

...

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