Well, howdy there, Internet people, it's Bell again.

So today, we're going to talk about second quarter negative GDP.

I got a question that came in about the economic uncertainty,

and I'm going to go through the thinking people have,

and why you're already seeing the predictions.

Here we go. Ms. Bell, you said months in

advance that we'd have a stock market correction led by tech stocks. We did. You said we'd have

negative GDP in the first quarter before anybody else I watched. We did. Now I'm seeing a lot of financial YouTube people

say that we'll have a second quarter of negative GDP growth already. I'm not seeing it.

The stock market has recovered and most of the tariffs are gone. I'm just wondering if you're

not saying it because you don't think it can happen,

or if there's another reason. Can it happen? Absolutely. I actually mentioned it over on the

roads recently, but I'm not certain it will yet. Look, I've now done the thing the channel is known for.

Here's this completely out of left field statement that goes against consensus that is shown to be

true. I'd like to keep that going, and it just seems a little early to say that's going to happen for

sure. But I can take you through the thought process.

The tariffs aren't gone. They're on pause for 90 days. Now, logically, they should be gone.

But businesses can't count on that. Right now, every business with any sense is calling their

Chinese suppliers and bringing in everything

they can everything they have room to store they're making orders for Christmas all of that

stuff will be ordered now but won't be sold until later so those imports will ding the GDP

there's also all of Trump's cuts. As we talked

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