Let's Make a Probabilistic Deal: A Fresh Look at the Monty Hall Problem
Science Talk
Scientific American
4.2 • 644 Ratings
🗓️ 25 June 2011
⏱️ 15 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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| 0:00.0 | This episode is presented by eBay. |
| 0:03.7 | Rob, everyone loves a deal and a bargain from time to time, don't they? Absolutely, mate. And you know where you can grab a great deal? Talk to me. Where? The eBay app. Yes, you are correct. You didn't need to talk to me. I already knew it. I love eBay. When you're buying, you can discover loads of hidden gems. there's so many items where you think I would have never found that anywhere else. |
| 0:23.7 | Then when you're buying, you can discover loads of hidden gems. There's so many items where you think I would have never found that anywhere else. Then when you're selling, it's so simple and most |
| 0:25.9 | importantly, free. It's free, Rob. When it's this easy to sell for free and there's great deals |
| 0:31.6 | on things you love. You can't help but say when it's eBay. It excludes vehicles and business |
| 0:35.9 | sellers. |
| 0:44.6 | Welcome to the Scientific American podcast Science Talk posted on June 25th, 2011. |
| 0:47.1 | I'm Steve Merski. This week on the podcast. |
| 0:54.1 | So Monty never picks door number one, but you know that he'll never pick the door that has the car. |
| 0:56.2 | That's Davidei Castilevechi. |
| 0:58.8 | He's one of our editors at Scientific American Magazine, |
| 1:01.1 | specializing in math and physics, |
| 1:04.7 | and he's talking about the infamous Monty Hall problem. |
| 1:07.2 | I've been promising you this episode for a while. |
| 1:11.9 | Davide wrote about the old Let's Make a Deal conundrum in a recent blog post, |
| 1:18.4 | so we decided to delve again into the decades-old poser of whether you increase your chances of winning if you change your original pick from door number one to door number three after |
| 1:23.5 | Monty opens door number two. And away we go. |
| 1:30.1 | David, what's behind door number one? |
| 1:32.5 | We don't know. |
| 1:33.5 | That's what we're here for the find. |
| 1:34.9 | Why are we examining the Monty Hall problem again, |
| 1:39.6 | which was in the news like 20 years ago? |
... |
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