Hello, welcome to another episode of the Weets on the Fox Media Podcast Network.

I'm Matthew Eglaceus here with Ezra Klein.

The election is just days away and obviously I think you would probably like us to tell

you who is going to win.

We don't know.

Should listen to my, my, my,

EK show with Nate Silver.

Yeah.

So just you tell you who's, can, what's, what's the TLDI?

Absolutely.

The thing, the thing that Nate believes is that you can predict things in the future with

certainty and you don't need to worry about messy probabilities.

Thank God.

I have had enough of probability distributions.

I would say, and I don't want to, I don't, I should not speak for Nate, but I would say

that as a, as a long time reader and listener of his, I feel like I can tell when he is trying

to tell you that the conventional wisdom about who will win is wrong.

And like you really need to like pivot in the other direction.

And when he's trying to tell you that if you believe the numbers, like one candidate looks

likely over the other and I feel like 2016 he was like really raising the alarm of Donald

Trump can win.

And this year does not, he does not have that same edge to his voice, which is not to say

...