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Paul Adamson in conversation

Lessons from the US mid-terms for the 2020 presidential election

Paul Adamson in conversation

Paul Adamson

News & Politics, Rss

4.47 Ratings

🗓️ 19 December 2018

⏱️ 15 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

David Wasserman, House Editor of The Cook Political Report, talks to Paul Adamson about the impact of the US mid-term elections in November 2018 on the Trump administration and predictions for the 2020 presidential election.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to In Conversation, the regular podcast of E-Shab magazine.

0:11.2

Go to esharp.com.E.U. for free access to all our podcast to date.

0:15.0

This is Paul Adamson. I'm in conversation with David Wasserman.

0:18.3

David Wasserman is the House editor of the Cook Political Report.

0:21.8

David, you're here in Brussels and making a presentation at the Microsoft Center.

0:25.7

So it's a kind of foretaste of that presentation you'll be making soon.

0:29.2

Let's look back briefly at the midterm elections all of six weeks away before we talk about the future.

0:35.3

Pundits seem to be talking about those midterms ever since Mr. Trump was elected two years ago.

0:39.3

When the events actually panned out, were there any major surprises in the midterms from your point of view?

0:46.3

Well, the surprise to many Americans was how divergent the outcome was between the House and Senate.

0:52.3

This was not a pure blue wave in the sense that Democrats

0:55.3

gained seats everywhere. They won House back by quite a comfortable margin, but they actually

0:59.9

lost two Senate seats at the same time. And that's going to be very important moving forward

1:05.1

because the Senate has a lot of power in many respects, not only to confirm Trump's judicial appointments to the Supreme Court

1:12.7

and federal courts, but also to confirm Trump's cabinet picks, which is pretty important

1:20.0

considering how much of a revolving door the White House and the cabinet have become.

1:25.9

They also hold the final say on impeachment matters. So Democrats are

1:30.4

cheerful about taking control of the House, but this is also going to be a very contentious next

1:36.9

congressional term. But presumably the Democrats realized a long time ago they were never going

1:41.4

to regain control of the Senate, but the fact that the Republicans actually increased their majority, that was a bit of a surprise then.

1:48.7

Well, if you had told people that Democrats would gain 40 House seats, which was beyond most people's expectations,

1:55.3

it was at the upper end of our range of the Cook Political Report we were anticipating they'd gain between 30 and 40,

...

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