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Talking Feds

Legal, but Not Legitimate

Talking Feds

Harry Litman

News, Politics, Government

4.8 • 4.5K Ratings

🗓️ 7 November 2024

⏱️ 44 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Harry unpacks Trump’s victory with Mike Podhorzer, founder of the Analyst Institute and the Defend Democracy Project and perhaps the nation’s #1 authority on polls and their foibles. Podhorzer resists the conventional wisdom that the election result is best explained by demographic shifts among certain voters such as Hispanic men or white women. If what's happened here happened in the Hungarian or Turkish elections, we wouldn't be looking at their exit polls to understand what happened. He rather analyzes the seeds of Trump’s victory in a series of developments since 2008, including Supreme Court decisions and an outpouring of money from third parties. Podhorzer avers that Trump’s policies have virtually no support in the electorate, pointing out how Trumpian candidates fared in down ballet races; however, Trump’s success traces to a persuasive embodiment of widely held attitudes, in particular anti-incumbency, which has been a potent force around the world since COVID. That suggests that when Trump begins to put policies into effect, for example the promised mass deportation, it will prompt an electoral backlash. Podhorzer’s core argument about the election is that while it was legal in the sense of not turning of quirky contingencies, it was not legitimate because it failed the fundamental test of expressing the true consent of the governed. See Privacy Policy at https://art19.com/privacy and California Privacy Notice at https://art19.com/privacy#do-not-sell-my-info. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Talking Fed's one-on-one, deep-dive discussions with national figures about the most fascinating and consequential issues defining our culture and shaping our lives.

0:19.8

I'm your host, Harry Littman.

0:22.6

Hi everyone. Welcome to another one-on-one on talking feds. It's our challenge and in some ways

0:32.7

difficult duty to try to figure out just what accounted for Donald Trump's decisive.

0:44.4

I think that's fair to say victory in the presidential contest yesterday and no better person.

0:52.2

In fact, I asked last week, win-lose-or-draw in the hope that today we could be talking

1:00.5

with Mike Podhorser, who many of you know from the podcast. He's the former political director of the

1:06.9

AFL-CIO, founder of the Analyst Institute, the Research Collaborative, and the

1:11.5

Defend Democracy Project.

1:14.2

His substack, pardon me, is called Weekend Reading, and I would say it becomes weekday

1:21.1

reading, at least for now.

1:25.1

And just beyond that, he's the one I think who has thought with the most nuanced,

1:31.0

sophistication and tranceancy about the polling and the whole series of assumptions and other calculations that have gone into our obsession with who was going to win

1:51.3

and now that can unpack just what happened. So Michael, thanks, as always, for being here

1:59.4

on a pretty sober day.

2:04.0

Why don't we start at the top line of, you know, what the hell happened before analyzing why it did or where it did?

2:15.0

What's your overall assessment of just what brought, what by any way of thinking

2:24.6

of it, historically, politically, culturally has to be a very improbable comeback for a man who in his previous term tried to commit an insurrection

2:39.9

against the Constitution.

2:41.9

Right.

2:42.4

Well, yes, it is a sober evening to be here and one that I'm sure everybody who will be

2:49.2

listening to this is going to remember how they felt last night, how they're feeling today.

...

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