All right, Alexander, let's talk about the ceasefire in Lebanon,

and let's talk about the escalation in Syria.

That looks like we have more military activity,

or at least an uptick in military activity in Syria.

We also have Assad meeting with Putin as well.

Yeah.

So all of this is connected.

Yeah.

Let's, I guess the best place to start is with the ceasefire that has happened between Israel

and Hezbollah.

And do you think this is going to hold?

The Biden White House claims that this is a ceasefire that will lead to, after 60 days,

will lead to a permanent end of the fighting between Hezbollah and Israel, but I think most

rational, sane people doubt that this is going to be the case. What are your thoughts?

I think this is, I agree with the rational people. I think that this is, of course.

One can see the logic of this ceasefire. I mean, Hezbollah has been very badly battered over the last

couple of weeks. I mean, it's longstanding leader, Hassan and Zerala, has been killed by the Israelis.

His successor, Asafiadin, was killed as well.

They've now got another leader who's obviously finding his feet and trying to sort out the leadership position within Hezbollah.

Beirut itself has been very badly bombed.

They've suffered significant losses,

and they've also discovered that their internal security systems have failed and that they've been heavily

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