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What you're trying to do is balance analytical utility in terms of getting an answer to the question.

With contextual realism and trying to get all of the elements of the scenario that you're interested in,

whether that be a problem around climate change

or a business decision, right?

Do you invest, do you not?

Or do you buy a particular weapon system or do you not?

It's the Law Fair Podcast. I'm Natalie Orpet, executive editor of Lawfair.

Introducing a conversation between our managing editor, Tyler McBrian, and Andrew Reddy,

Associate Research Professor of Public Policy at the University of California Berkeley,

and the founder and faculty director of the Berkeley Risk and Security Lab.

Particularly where you have problems that you don't have empirical data for, you're going to need to figure

out new ways to create synthetic data that look a little bit different than computer-based

modeling and simulation that are fundamentally

limited by the assumptions that you're having to make about human behavior.

Tyler and Andrew spoke about war gaming as a tool to manage risk,

from war to climate and beyond.

So Andrew, I think a lot of our listeners

will already be familiar with the concept of war gaming.

...