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EconTalk

Laurence Kotlikoff on Debt, Default, and the Federal Government's Finances

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4.74.4K Ratings

🗓️ 13 January 2014

⏱️ 61 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Laurence Kotlikoff of Boston University talks with EconTalk host Russ Roberts about the fiscal health of the federal government of the United States. Kotlikoff argues that the U.S. government is essentially bankrupt because future taxes will fall hundreds of trillions of dollars short of expected expenditures. Kotlikoff argues this problem can be solved by redesigning our tax code, but without changes such as this, large reductions in spending or large increases in tax rates will be necessary.

Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Econ Talk, part of the Library of Economics and Liberty. I'm your host Russ Roberts

0:07.8

of Stanford University's Hoover Institution. Our website is econtalk.org where you can

0:13.6

subscribe, comment on this podcast, and find links and other information related to today's

0:18.1

conversation. We'll also find our archives where you can listen to every episode we've ever

0:22.7

done going back to 2006. Our email address is mailadicontalk.org. We'd love to hear from you.

0:32.3

Today is January 6, 2014, and before we get started, I want to encourage you again to send me your

0:38.4

favorite episodes of 2013. Send me an email at mailaticontalk.org with the word favorites in the

0:45.0

subject line. List five favorites. You can find all the 2013 episodes listed in chronological

0:50.5

order by going to econtalk.org. In the left hand margin of the page, you'll see archives,

0:55.4

and you can choose date, and that will list them all. That will actually list all 400 plus

1:00.4

episodes of econtalk. They're all available online, despite the fact that some of them are when

1:06.1

I was a, I hope, less skilled interviewer, but they're all up there going back to 2006.

1:12.0

My guest today is Lawrence Kotlickoff. He is a William Fairfield Warren professor and professor

1:18.2

of economics at Boston University, a fellow of the American Academy of Arts and Sciences,

1:23.6

a fellow of the econometric society, a research associate of the National Bureau of Economic

1:27.2

Research and President of Economic Security Planning, a company specializing in financial

1:32.1

planning software. Larry, welcome to econtalk. Thanks for having me, Russ.

1:36.5

Now, you've been writing for some time about America's fiscal problems. A lot of people disagree

1:42.7

about how serious those problems are. You argue that they're serious. How bad is it?

1:48.4

I think it's terrible. I think we're probably in more fiscal shape than any developed country.

1:54.5

The reason Russ is that we've been piling up debts for over six decades, and when I say we,

2:05.6

I'm referring to both Republican and Democratic administrations and Congresses,

...

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