Republicans underperformance in one election in particular signals an impending disaster in midterms.

And I've got three interviews, Jamie Raskin, Tommy Vitor, and Alaska Senate candidate Mary Peltola.

I'm Brian Tyler Cohen, and you're listening to No Lie.

Something pretty amazing got virtually zero coverage because of everything that's happening right now in Iran with gas prices, with Epstein, and on and on.

But on Tuesday, Democrat Chris Taylor flipped a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court, expanding the liberal majority from four to three to five to two.

But the real story is this.

Back in 2024, Trump actually won six of the eight congressional districts in Wisconsin.

But this past Tuesday, Chris Taylor won seven of the eight congressional districts, meaning a

flip in support of five seats.

The only seat in Wisconsin that didn't have higher Democratic support is Wisconsin's fifth

congressional district.

That went from a 22 point margin in Trump's favor to a nine point margin in Trump's favor,

meaning it's a 13 point swing to the left. And that's a 13 point swing in the reddest district in the state. The biggest swing was actually Wisconsin's third district where there was a 28 point

swing to the left. And if we see these kinds of numbers play out

nationally, even, you know, the more conservative 13-point swing, then the House has gone for Republicans,

and in fact, Democrats would also take the Senate. And better news yet, the candidates that Democrats

have fielded for the Senate are, you know, as strong as they come. Roy Cooper in North Carolina is polling between eight and 18 points ahead.

Sherrod Brown in Ohio is polling one to two points ahead.

James Telerico in Texas also polling one to two points ahead.

Mary Peltola, who you'll hear from in a short while, is polling four points ahead.

We've got strong candidates in Maine and Michigan.

And with Trump continuing,

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