Hello, hello everybody. It's that time of year. I guess for the 2024 election. Ready or no, I feel like we just said 2022 crystal

I don't know exactly how that's all going there. They're literally still counting ballots from 2022. Yeah, I think that's actually that's a fantastic point

which they are literally still counting ballots and yet somehow we are here together. Yeah, so before we get started really weird to do this show at night

I gotta say it does. I don't think it all I don't know what day of the week it is a whole lot

of the sun is on or not, but anyway, we're here because the former president Trump is supposedly going to announce his campaign tonight. Right. So we're going to do a whole thing. We're going to have a kind of a normal show ahead of time. We're going to look at the polls. We're going to talk about the Democrats. There were leadership elections today. All kinds of stuff to break down. More Republicans trying to distance themselves for Trump potentially opening the door for Ronda Santa. So we'll break all of that down. Ryan and Emily are going to join us as well. We have a couple announcements at the top as well. Two things live show. As you guys know,

look, we have the New York and the Boston live show. We've got tickets better on sale right now. The description links on any of our past videos has the code and the link in order to go and buy that. And then number two, we've got a special discount live discount. You guys loved it so much during the midterm elections. It's said, okay, fine. We can go ahead and we can bring this back for everybody. So that's at the top of the chat and down in the description of this video as well. But I mean, Crystal, before we even get to the election before you and I were coming on here. Well, there is a potential major foreign policy crisis.

On all of our hands. So let's go ahead and put this up there on the screen. This is very important. What's happening in Poland right near the Ukrainian border near the city of Levyv, which we've talked about previously as strategic waypoint. The immediate reaction was that Poland says that Russian made missiles hit their territory and killed two people. Now since that headline was cut for this show, we have a little bit more that we can offer all of you.

The Polish foreign minister and the Polish president spoke with President Biden who was woken up early currently. He is in Bali in Asia for the G20 summit where president Duda was did not confirm that these were Russian missiles, Crystal. He said that it was likely. He was not ascribing any actual motive. He did not say whether it was intentional or not. The Russians have come out and said that it's a fabrication that there is no evidence that they did not strike in that region.

The United States has made no attribution here whatsoever. The Polish president, Duda said that US investigators are on their way to the site in order to quote, you know, ascertain exactly all what's going on there. There's a couple of different things that they wanted us to know. Number one, they're investigating the reasons two people are dead. The military readiness of Poland. Of course, I should have even say the top Poland is a NATO ally. That's why this is so important.

In the first place, number three, President Duda has both spoken with President Biden with Prime Minister Sunok with the NATO Secretary General Jan Stoltenberg all tonight before he came out and put out the statement. Finally, and this is what's most important for our purposes.

Poland is currently considering whether to call for discussions under Article 4. So everybody here knows about Article 5. That is the collective defense. Well, if you attack one, attack against all. Article 4 is effectively a consideration as to whether their territorial integrity has been violated or not. To be 100% clear, they have not invoked Article 4. They are considering Article 4.

I'll read you directly what that says in English. The parties will consult together whenever in the opinion of any of them, the territorial integrity, political independence or security of any of the parties is threatened. So that's the direct quote from NATO's treaty and its understanding. But obviously zoom out, you know, what, 40, 50,000 foot and just say this is a tremendously dangerous situation for the world, no matter what exactly happened.

It could have been Russian missiles that were striking all across the Ukraine. It could have been Ukrainian air defense systems. We have no confirmation. We have no independent information, confirmation, etc.

Right.

Lots of accusations are flying around from the Russians to the Ukrainians to the Polish to the Lithuanians and the United States and obviously are monitoring the situation very, very closely.

Yes. I mean, there are several different possibilities for what happened here, sort of plausible explanations for what happened here. And we do have images of the area that was reportedly struck.

And, you know, multiple confirmations that two people were killed in whatever happened. One possibility is that this was an intentional strike from Russia.

Yes.

No one has said that out right yet, which should be clear about that and the Russians certainly deny that. Another possibility is that this was an accident. The Russians haven't been known and their missiles haven't been known to be all that precise.

And today they were bombarding Kiev and the eastern part of Ukraine, heavily, heavily hitting Ukrainian energy infrastructure.

And so, once again, you've got Kiev in pretty much a blackout state at this point. So under that sort of heavy bombardment, was there a mistake where one thing landed across the border in Poland? That is one possibility.

Another possibility is that as part of Ukrainian air defense, air missile defense, that they either hit a Russian missile and some of the debris fell here or this was a Ukrainian air defense missile.

...