4.6 • 8.7K Ratings
🗓️ 1 September 2016
⏱️ 50 minutes
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0:00.0 | From WNYC in New York, this is on the media. I'm Brooke Ladstone. |
0:04.9 | And I'm Bob Garfield. |
0:07.6 | Back in December, when we put together our Breaking News Consumer Handbook Election Polling Edition, |
0:13.4 | we warned against taking general election polls too seriously too early. |
0:18.5 | A quick rehash. |
0:19.9 | One, pay attention to which firm produced the poll. The five big ones that |
0:24.8 | determine eligibility for the upcoming debates, which include the CBS New York Times poll and Fox News. |
0:31.6 | Those employ live interviews and are therefore more reliable, but they're also less frequent. In their absence, news outlets |
0:39.7 | often draw upon automated and internet polls, which are much more likely to be untested, |
0:45.6 | historically inaccurate, and on occasion, fake. Look at a bunch of polls and outlets that aggregate |
0:52.6 | them because trends and averages matter most. |
0:56.4 | With the conventions a month behind us, those trends suggest that Donald Trump's incendiary |
1:02.5 | populism is increasingly unpopular. |
1:06.8 | As CNN's Breonna Keller recently pointed out to Trump organization lawyer Michael Cohen, |
1:13.1 | following the replacement of the campaign chief two and a half months before election day. |
1:18.0 | You say it's not a shake-up, but you guys are down, and it makes sense that there would polls. |
1:23.8 | Says who? |
1:24.9 | Most of them. All of them? |
1:27.4 | Says who? Polls. I All of them? Says who? |
1:28.3 | Poles. |
1:29.3 | I just told you, I answered your question. |
1:31.3 | Okay. |
... |
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