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More or Less

Keep your distance

More or Less

BBC

News Commentary, Science, Mathematics, News

4.63.7K Ratings

🗓️ 6 June 2020

⏱️ 9 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

What difference does a metre make? The World Health Organisation recommends that people keep at least 1 metre apart from each other to stop the spread of Covid-19, but different countries have adopted different standards.

The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommends staying six feet apart - that’s just short of 2 metres; in the UK, the rule is 2 metres. But all this has a big impact on the way businesses and societies get back to work. Tim Harford investigates the economic costs and conundrums of keeping our distance in a post-lockdown world.

How can we avoid infection spreading again, while getting on with life?

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome to more or less on the BBC World Service. We're the programme that

0:13.4

sneezes suspects statistics into the crook of an analytical elbow and I'm Tim Harvard.

0:26.6

We're all pondering how a post lockdown world will work. How can we avoid infection spreading

0:32.2

again while getting on with life?

0:44.3

The World Health Organisation recommends that people keep at least one metre apart from

0:48.5

each other that different countries have adopted different standards.

0:54.7

The US Centers for Disease Control recommends staying six feet apart, that's nearly two metres.

1:00.4

In the UK the rule is two metres.

1:05.6

A one metre rule would obviously make it easier to go about our daily affairs but presumably

1:11.2

would also increase the risk of infection relative to a two metre rule.

1:17.0

It's a trade off of course, keeping a hundred metres apart is very safe and very impractical,

1:22.0

squeezing into concert venues, trains or elevators is how we always use to do things but the virus

1:27.2

loves it when we snuggle up close.

1:32.8

The Lancet published a meta-analysis of over 170 observational studies at the spread of COVID-19

1:39.7

and two related illnesses, SARS and MERS, looking at the value of masks, visors and physical distance.

1:46.9

None of the studies were randomized trials but in total they covered a lot of people in a lot of

1:51.5

different situations. The Lancet authors concluded that maintaining one metre physical distance gave a large

1:58.3

protective effect relative to actual physical contact but there was some evidence that moving to a two metre

2:04.3

distance might provide a substantial further protection.

2:07.5

So keeping some distance really helps, keeping a bigger distance probably helps more, that makes sense I suppose,

2:14.8

but what about the flip side of this question?

2:17.4

How much of a difference would it make to businesses and indeed to all of us trying to get on with life

...

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