Just Stop Oil !? Part 3 - 10 Pathways to Post-Growth | Frankly #40
The Great Simplification with Nate Hagens
Nate Hagens
4.8 • 553 Ratings
🗓️ 4 August 2023
⏱️ 28 minutes
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Summary
In Part 3 of this Frankly Series, Nate (just after watching the movie Oppenheimer!) breaks down the logic of how we COULD arrive at a post-growth future. Our global situation is complex and not static - IF we somehow are able to shrink the global economic output (which would imply significantly less oil use) we first have to navigate 'the 4 Horsemen of the 2020s'. Nate outlines 10 possible avenues for how this could happen, not as a prescription but as a description of various possible scenarios. The implications of the complexity of our global systems means a path to a world without our current dependence on growth will not be an easy one. Yet understanding these hurdles between our current situation and an eventual post-growth future is essential to shifting the initial conditions of such a global transformation towards 'better-than-the-default' outcomes. How do impending and converging risks narrow our options for ways to move towards a different global system - and can we manage to protect the things that make life worth living?
Watch on Youtube: https://youtu.be/EhOhfRrvYI0
For Show Notes and More: For Show Notes and more: https://www.thegreatsimplification.com/frankly-original/40-just-stop-oil-part-3-10-pathways-to-post-growth
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Greetings. I am just back a couple hours ago from the movie Oppenheimer. |
| 0:06.0 | So I maybe shouldn't record this episode now, or maybe I should. |
| 0:13.0 | It's a great, great movie. I saw it in one of those real theaters with the surround sound. |
| 0:20.0 | Pretty impactful message and relevant to our world today. |
| 0:26.5 | Okay, this is part three in a four-part series on Just Stop Oil. |
| 0:33.1 | Today I'm going to talk about the 10 pathways to post growth or using less fossil fuels, |
| 0:42.4 | less emissions, because I think they're largely synonymous. |
| 0:49.5 | Again, this episode is going to be describing our situation. In part four, I'll advocate or at least suggest some pathways for us who are aware and care about these things. |
| 1:03.5 | First of all, some admin. |
| 1:06.7 | This will come out Friday morning at 7 central. |
| 1:11.1 | 48 hours from now, I highly recommend that everyone watch reality roundtable number |
| 1:17.1 | three, which is one of our best reality roundtables ever. |
| 1:20.3 | Of course, there's only three with John Erickson, Josh Farley, Kate Rayworth, and Steve Keane talking about what the 240 million |
| 1:32.3 | college students in the world are learning in their Econ 101 class that is divorced from |
| 1:38.6 | the reality we face. |
| 1:39.9 | I highly recommend people watch it. |
| 2:07.6 | Okay, getting to this episode, I'm going to talk about the economy and missions and post-growth. But let me just first state that there are four general scenarios of the future. |
| 2:16.6 | You could do a two-by-two grid, and the top two would be growth |
| 2:22.1 | of some sort. Green growth, which is we're rich enough as a culture, as a nation, as a world, |
| 2:29.9 | to pay for the environmental damages that we're creating. |
| 2:39.7 | Or brown growth, which is we continue to grow and pollute. |
| 2:48.4 | Underneath, on the bottom axis, is not growth, but descent, whereas we hit a peak and have post-growth economy. |
... |
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