Jobs report is make or break for Fed move
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 1 December 2024
⏱️ 5 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Show Notes
Canada calls alleged Snowflake hacker 'a risk of danger' to public
Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street brunch, our Sunday look ahead to this week's |
| 0:09.9 | market-moving events, along with the weekend's top news and analysis. |
| 0:14.9 | Hello, today is Sunday December 1st, and I'm your host Kim Khan. |
| 0:18.9 | The labor market comes back to the forefront this week, |
| 0:21.5 | with the November jobs report due on Friday. Last week's sticky inflation data bolstered the chances |
| 0:26.8 | of a December Fed rate cut, but a weak payroll's figure could slash those expectations again. |
| 0:32.4 | Economists expect that the economy added 200,000 jobs last month, with the unemployment rate |
| 0:37.0 | ticking up to 4.2% |
| 0:38.6 | and average hourly earnings up 0.3%. |
| 0:41.3 | Wells Fargo economists say, through the monthly swings of non-form payrolls, we expect the November |
| 0:47.1 | employment report to reiterate that while the labor market remains solid in an absolute sense, |
| 0:52.1 | the softening trend in employment conditions is yet to cease. |
| 0:55.4 | The markets are currently pricing in a 66% chance of the Fed cutting by 25 basis points |
| 1:00.6 | when it meets in a couple of weeks. But those odds could be back on a knife edge with a significant |
| 1:05.7 | payrolls miss, or one of just 50k if previous months were revised downward. |
| 1:11.5 | But in the earnings parade, which is down to very few marchers right now, |
| 1:15.2 | it's Salesforce on Tuesday. |
| 1:17.1 | EPS consensus is for 245 and revenue of $9.35 billion. |
| 1:22.3 | Deutsche Bank says analysts will be looking for updates |
| 1:24.9 | on how the company's new agent force and Agent Builder offerings are performing. |
| 1:29.4 | Their analysts expect Salesforce's total and subscription revenue to come in modestly above expectations due to broadly stable demand environment. |
| 1:37.8 | But they don't anticipate Salesforce providing an early fiscal 2026 outlook during the call. |
... |
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