Job growth staying strong
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 8 December 2023
⏱️ 7 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Show Notes
Dividend Roundup: Walmart, Dell Technologies, Mastercard, AIG, and more
'Panic' on disinflation and a Catch-22 for risk in '24 - J.P. Morgan's Kolanovic
]Honeywell to buy Carrier's security business in $5B deal
Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb.
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Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis. |
| 0:10.0 | Good afternoon. Today is Friday, this summer 8 and I'm your host Kim Khan. Our top story so far. |
| 0:16.0 | The recent trend of weak economic numbers ended this morning with an impressive November jobs report. |
| 0:21.0 | The latest figures showed some renewed labor market strength |
| 0:24.0 | that keeps a soft landing in play while giving the Fed a little more |
| 0:27.2 | optionality than what the markets were pricing in since the CPI. November payrolls |
| 0:32.2 | rose by 199,000 last month, up from 150,000, and topping expectations |
| 0:37.6 | for a rise of 180,000. |
| 0:40.5 | And the unemployment rate fell unexpectedly to 3.7% from 3.9%. |
| 0:45.0 | University of Michigan economist Justin Wolfers |
| 0:48.0 | notes that the household survey shows that employment grew by a blockbuster 747,000. That's why the unemployment rate fell so |
| 0:55.0 | sharply, but adds this is a noisier survey so less well suited for measuring |
| 0:59.7 | month-to-month changes. Adding to the dumbish tone, wages came in a little hot with average hourly earnings of 0.4% |
| 1:07.5 | a tad higher than estimates. |
| 1:10.0 | Seeking off analyst David Alton Clark says these numbers appear to reinforce a soft landing narrative, |
| 1:15.0 | but regardless, the bottom line is that the market has already decided the Fed rate hike cycle is over. |
| 1:20.0 | At this point, it's not a question of if but when the Fed will begin cutting rates in 2024. |
| 1:25.0 | After some immediate volatility following the release, Fed Funds futures are now back to a coin toss on whether the Fed cuts as soon as March. |
| 1:33.8 | The Gila Ba, fixed income strategist at Investment Bank Janie, says the numbers provide another |
| 1:39.0 | excuse for the Fed to push back on cuts. |
| 1:42.2 | In the stock market, more benign inflation data wiped out the initial |
| 1:45.2 | losses prompted by the jobs report. The S&P, Nasdek and Dow, are little changed in very choppy action. |
... |
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