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Patrick Boyle On Finance

Jamie Dimon Warns Banking Crisis 'Is Not Yet Over!'

Patrick Boyle On Finance

Patrick Boyle

Investing, Business

4.9320 Ratings

🗓️ 8 April 2023

⏱️ 18 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Send us a textJamie Dimon, the chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, warned that the banking crisis 'not yet over' in an annual letter to shareholders just weeks after the collapse of three US banks.He said he didn't expect the turmoil to lead to a global crisis like in 2008, noting that it involved "involved fewer players and fewer issues". But he warned the impact would linger.Patrick's Books:Statistics For The Trading Floor: https://amzn.to/3eerLA0Derivatives For The Trading Floor:&nbsp...

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hello and welcome. You are listening to Patrick Boyle on Finance, a podcast exploring ideas from quantitative finance, examining events occurring in markets right now and financial history to see what lessons can be taken away, including interviews with some of the most interesting people in the world of finance. To learn more about the podcast, visit onfinance.org.

0:27.2

In the J.P. Morgan annual letter to shareholders, Jamie Diamond, the CEO, blamed regulators

0:34.3

for the recent banking panics that we've seen and warned that the current

0:38.9

crisis is not yet over and that there will be repercussions from it for years to come.

0:45.7

He argues that the recent events where three US banks failed and the Swiss government

0:51.4

engineered an emergency takeover of Credit Suisse, risk undermining

0:56.7

confidence in the banking industry and prompted investors to price in a greater risk of recession

1:03.9

in the United States. In his letter, he put forth that the regulations ushered in after the credit crunch encouraged banks

1:13.5

to build large portfolios of treasury bonds that then fell in value when the Federal Reserve

1:19.7

raised interest rates, leaving certain banks nursing losses that spooked investors. Ironically,

1:27.4

banks were incented to own very safe government securities because they were

1:33.3

considered highly liquid by regulators and carried very low capital requirements, he wrote

1:39.8

in the letter published earlier this week.

1:43.8

Diamond took aim at banking stress tests in his letter

1:47.4

too. Stress testing is the annual process run by the Fed to gauge the biggest bank's ability to

1:55.5

withstand major economic shocks. He said in his letter that the exercise has become an enormous mind-numbingly

2:04.3

complex task about crossing T's and dotting eyes that might give a risk committee a false

2:11.2

sense of security. He says that even worse, the stress testing based on the scenario devised by the Fed, never

2:19.5

incorporated interest rates at higher levels.

2:23.4

He says that he's not aiming to absolve bank management, he just wanted to make clear that

2:29.6

this wasn't the finest hour for many players.

2:33.4

All of the colliding factors became critically

...

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