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Wall Street Breakfast

J.P. Morgan's Dimon says rates could spike to 8%

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 8 April 2024

⏱️ 6 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Jamie Dimon casts doubt on a soft landing, says AI akin to the steam engine (0:16) Stocks face trouble if the 10-year hits 4.8%. (2:21) How fast could a Tesla Robotaxi hit the road? (4:42)

Show Notes
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Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb
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Transcript

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0:00.0

Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis.

0:10.0

Good afternoon, today is Monday April 8th and I'm your host Kim Khan. Our top story so far

0:15.5

J.P. Morgan Chase CEO Jamie Diamond says the market should be prepared for more turbulence

0:20.8

than what is currently priced in.

0:22.8

In his annual letter to shareholders, Diamond said,

0:25.4

Equity values by most measures are at the high end of the valuation range

0:29.4

and credit spreads are extremely tight.

0:31.6

These markets seem to be pricing in at a 70 to 80

0:34.4

percent chance of a soft landing, modest growth along with declining inflation and

0:38.7

interest rates. I believe the odds are a lot lower than that. He pointed to huge fiscal spending, the trillions

0:44.7

needed each year for the green economy, the remilitarization of the world, and the restructuring

0:50.0

of global trade as contributors to inflation.

0:53.0

Therefore, we are prepared for a very broad range of interest rates,

0:56.5

from 2% to 8% or even more,

0:59.0

with equally wide-ranging economic outcomes,

1:01.5

from strong economic growth with moderate inflation in this case

1:04.8

higher interest rates would result from higher demand for capital to a recession with

1:09.0

inflation i.e. stagflation he said Turning his attention to AI, Diamond said that while its full effect

1:15.7

on banking or society isn't known, we are completely convinced that the consequences

1:20.0

will be extraordinary and possibly as transformational as some of the major

1:24.2

technical inventions of the past several hundred years. Think the

1:27.5

printing press, the steam engine, electricity, computing, and the internet

...

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