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The Run-Up

It Was Only One State, Right? So Why Does This Primary Feel Over?

The Run-Up

The New York Times

News Commentary, Politics, News

4.42K Ratings

🗓️ 18 January 2024

⏱️ 40 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Going into the Iowa caucuses, there were a handful of key things we were watching for: Would the frigid weather hamper turnout? Would his overwhelming dominance in the polls translate to a decisive victory for Donald Trump? And finally, could the other candidates muster enough of a showing to keep the race alive? Today: Through conversations with Iowa caucus goers — especially those who preferred another candidate to Trump — we get answers to our questions. And we check in with our colleague Nick Corasaniti in New Hampshire about how the state’s independents are approaching the primary next week — and how confident Trump is of a second early state victory.

Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

I'm not used to like just the groaning of the snow under the car. That's like a new experience.

0:10.0

Yeah, yeah, yeah, you can definitely see we're not on stable ground.

0:14.0

Also like, it's just so dark.

0:20.0

Like, the quiet is what always gets me.

0:24.0

Yeah, but you know, what sound do I hear?

0:30.0

Democracy. from the New York Times and for one last time from Iowa I'm a Stad Herndon.

0:41.2

This is the run-up.

0:46.0

Going into the night of the Iowa Caucasus, where the first votes would be cast in this year's presidential election,

0:50.0

I had been looking for three key things.

0:53.6

The impact of the cold weather.

0:56.2

Trump's strength and perceived dominance in Iowa.

0:59.6

And finally, whether there would even be a contest to keep covering after Monday, or if a huge Trump victory

1:06.2

would put an end to any fight in New Hampshire and beyond.

1:10.7

So a couple days have passed. We've defrosted a little bit and we now have our answers.

1:17.0

All right, it's cockin's time.

1:19.0

First, on the weather. I know it's cold but we need you out there.

1:23.0

Wear some layers, bring your ID and bring your friends.

1:26.4

We can do this.

1:27.4

Come on, Iowa.

1:28.4

Iowans did brave sub-zero temperatures to come caucus, but not that many of them.

1:34.3

There were only around 110,000 votes,

1:37.2

40% lower than the turnout in 2016,

...

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