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FiveThirtyEight Politics

It's Not Yet Time To Start Worrying About The Polls

FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

Politics, News

4.620.6K Ratings

🗓️ 15 September 2022

⏱️ 55 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss what's behind the recent movement in the forecast and answer questions from listeners. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

I want to clarify for the viewers that this is not wine. I'm drinking cold brew out of a wine glass.

0:09.6

But maybe it is wine. You know, the the joy of remote work is that

0:14.1

you need nor art listeners will ever know what is actually in this cup.

0:18.0

Hello and welcome to the 538 Politics podcast. I'm Gaelin Druke. I'm Nate Silver. And this is

0:36.6

a monotalk. Nate, as the listeners can probably hear, we are unfortunately remote again. We

0:45.2

would like to be in studio, but your schedule is a little crazy. At the very least, we are recording

0:51.1

a model talk. It's been a minute. Where have you been? What have you been up to?

0:55.9

I went to Montreal for a liberty weekend. Can't is nice, man. How's Canada not

1:03.4

f***ing up like every other country in the world?

1:06.8

I don't know. Canadian listeners, please call in and answer Nate's open question. I mean,

1:13.0

I'm sure there are problems with Canada. I don't know.

1:15.7

I mean, you had like Rob Ford. They haven't won the Stanley Cup in a long time.

1:19.4

Right? They've got some issues, but overall, man, and the worst thing about it is a really

1:24.0

f***ing humble about it, which is like more annoying. Like, can you should brag more about

1:28.5

how you're like one of the most competently run companies, your multilingual,

1:33.2

your multi ethnic countries. Yeah. You have successful businesses. You're wealth.

1:38.0

I mean, what can you even though it's really cold? Maybe it's because it's cold, right?

1:42.2

In the US, we can go to the beach and Canada, they have to be like all, I don't know,

1:48.0

that it's terrible. All winters. They have to be very industrious, I guess.

1:51.4

Nate, it sounds like you want to move to Canada. No, I wouldn't. Yeah.

1:55.3

Wait, so why after all that would you not move to Canada?

1:59.1

I like the US and our dynamic risk-taking system.

...

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