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The Mother Jones Podcast

It’s Finally Time to Talk About the Polls

The Mother Jones Podcast

Mother Jones

Scoops, Investigations, News, Journalism, Elections, Politics

4.51.1K Ratings

🗓️ 24 October 2018

⏱️ 33 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

On this week’s show: After 2016, can we really trust the polls? With just two weeks until the midterm elections on November 6, we gather some of the biggest brains in the business to round up everything you need to know about numbers, numbers, numbers. Our all-star cast includes MSNBC's National Political Correspondent, Steve Kornacki; FiveThirtyEight's managing editor, Micah Cohen, and HuffPost's polling editor, Ariel Edwards-Levy. We fill you in on what you need to watch for during the minute-by-minute coverage on election night—and the biggest issues driving voters to the ballot box.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Mother Jones podcast. I'm Jamila King in New York.

0:04.0

On today's show, Numbers, Numbers, Numbers,

0:15.0

with just two weeks to go, everything you need to know about polling,

0:21.0

from three of the biggest names in the business, an all-star cast.

0:25.0

What elections give us are, you know, the closest thing to a comprehensive read out of the political

0:29.6

mood of a country that we're going to get for really two years.

0:32.7

MS NBC's national political correspondent, Steve Kurnaki.

0:36.0

The map of the country, the political story of the country is just, it's coming into focus that night

0:39.7

and your wife, what's it going to be?

0:41.0

What's it going to be?

0:42.1

538's managing editor mica Cohen.

0:44.8

We show Republicans with a one in six chance of winning the house.

0:49.3

If you're playing Russian roulette that's the chance is that you get killed, right?

0:53.5

And nobody wants to play Russian roulette.

0:55.2

And Huff post-polling editor, Arielle Edwards Levy.

0:58.2

I think people are fascinating, and I love hearing about people's lives and what people think about issues and the way they conceptualize it.

1:05.6

And this sort of provides an opportunity to go out every day and just talk to a really broad swath of America.

1:12.8

What you need to watch in the minute-by-minute horse race on election night.

1:17.0

And who will win?

1:20.0

Just kidding.

1:21.0

spoiler, that's the wrong way to think about polls.

1:25.0

We explain why.

...

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