Hi everybody I'm

I'm Brittany Lewis a reporter here at Forbes joining me now is Forbes

executive editor Michael Solomon Michael thanks for coming on in

thanks for having we we have a very exciting conversation today the 90 on How do they win their Oscar Pool? So I say this every year to people and every year people forget that I say this, but the way to win your Oscar Pool is to bet with your head, not with your heart.

And of course when it comes to movies,

everybody's got a favorite film, everybody's

got a favorite performance.

If you hear yourself saying the words,

oh, but she was so great in that, you're probably going to lose your Oscar pool.

The way to win your Oscar pool is to look at the awards ceremonies that have come before

the Oscars, Golden Globes to some extent, but the individual categories each have awards.

The Writers Guild has awards, Directors Guild, editors,

costumes, it's all there.

Screen Actors Guild Awards happen. This is a very reliable predictor of who's going to win.

Of course there are always surprises. Of course there are always upsets.

But it's a very, I would say 75 to 90% reliable predictor of who's going to win the Oscars.

So basically everyone's Oscar Pool is almost done. They just need to go back, look at the the Oscars Directors Guild, that is the path to victory.

Now, there are other awards, Golden Globes,

BAFTA's, things like that.

Those do factor in, and that's how you get some of those upsets,

because sometimes those awards split,

but in general, the winners of those pre- those awards

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