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Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan Grudusky.

I am your host.

Thank you all for being here again this week.

This week is a solo episode because this is a numbers game podcast and there was a ton of data that came out this week.

And I thought, let's have a very autistic episode starring just me where I can give you

everything that you're here for. And then we'll presume with a guest come next week.

But there's three topics I want to get to on today's

episode, which is the Trump poll bounce. What is going on in New York State that I think is

super interesting? And then data that came out about the 2024 election that is very, very vital.

So let's start, though, with the Trump bounce. For those who don't know, now,

a month ago, right, the media was loving it because Trump's numbers were down double digits

in a number of very highly accredited public polls. Public polls are not usually as good as

private polls, but they make cross tabs available. They work with

media outlets. They get a lot of coverage. So these polls were coming out showing Trump's numbers

in the dumps. It was right after Liberation Day and fears of recession were at a huge high.

And since then, well, we haven't had a recession. Actually, the numbers from the economy

are doing pretty good. There was a reduction in prices, in wholesale prices, wages are up over 3%.

Inflation is steady. Things are going well for the economy. The economy is fairly strong.

And this has been very good news for Donald Trump.

So I looked at the seven polls that had come out recently that also came out a month ago.

They are insider advantage, morning consult, the economist, the Daily Mail, who James Johnson, who came on this podcast a couple weeks ago, RMG research,

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