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Guaranteed Human.

Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan Gurdowski.

Thank you guys for being here.

Is the 2024 Trump Coalition ending?

That's the question I'm going to pose to everybody

because that is what the media is saying.

This all comes from the New York Times-Syana poll

that I mentioned to my audience on Friday's episode.

First, I want to say that I know a lot of people are down on polls, right? I get it. They messed up a lot in the last 10 years. And there's a lot of nonsense that comes from a polling industry. So I'm not unaware of it and I'm not biased in saying that all polls are good. There's a lot of bad stuff out there.

But we have to take certain polls seriously, not only because there is some truth to them,

there's an underlying truth that they are correct more than they are wrong, even though when they're wrong, they're really wrong. But it's also in the fact that they are taken seriously

by the media and they create the narratives that we all live with.

And then the mainstream believes, right? So despite whatever you feel about polling, despite how much

you may not like a poll or sit there and say, oh, it's a New York Times poll, therefore it's

going to be liberal. And I find the New York Times polls is not, I mean, they do think some things that I don't like, but as far as like the wonkiness of the poll. But what they, what they do is they are transparent and they are attached to the biggest newspaper in the country. So therefore alone, it's worth to go through it to find what they're talking about and then to either correct it, dispel it, or sit there and say, yeah, this is the truth. And either I have to accept it or I should promote it because it agrees with me. So my question comes from the article published by Nate Cohn. Nate's a very smart data analyst for the times. He's actually been right quite a bit in the last few years. Cohn or an article, the voters who have taken a U-turn on Trump, and it detailed how voters have shifted big against Trump. They shifted for Trump, rather, in 2024. Now they're shifting away from Trump. Based on his favorability ratings, his current favorite ratings, which stand at 40% according to the Times. So according to the Times, and I'm going to post the image on the

YouTube video if you're not able to, if you're just listening to this, I'll show it on the YouTube

video. The Times has therein shows that there is a big swing among non-white voters and voters

among the ages of 18 to 29, that they are the moving further against Trump than the general public, and they're actually

responsible for a big part of the moving against Trump. Naturally, liberals are celebrating. Greg

Sargent from the New Republic exclaimed on Twitter that the MAGA was dead, that the long last

the national nightmare was over, and that the coalition of the Ascendant is basically back in action,

...