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Welcome back to a numbers game with Ryan Gurdesky.

It's a very exciting time of a year.

Elections are starting now for the 2025 cycle, 2026 cycle all across the world,

which always excites me and I'm sure excites listeners.

Ari Sabato, he is the director of the Center for Politics at the University of Virginia.

He's very well respected on his political analysis, though I think he's very overblown.

I don't respect him that much, but I think he's worth at least putting a grain of salt listening

to.

It's not because he blocked me on Twitter because I called him out for his big bag of

bullshit, but that's besides the point.

It's worth just listening to and seeing what he says, but he's very much a mainstream media

opinion person.

Anyway, he had his first predictions for the, for the 2025, 2026 governor's elections.

Wasn't that many surprises he predicted Democrats have the advantage in flipping the governorship of Virginia and that Republicans can take

the governor's mansion in Kansas. He said Arizona and Michigan are the two most competitive

states. They're both currently occupied by Democrats. Two very quick things. And the only quick things I really think

are worth pointing out and putting an emphasis on him. He put the New Jersey governor's race as

lean Democrat, which means it's slightly advantaged towards Democrats, but Republicans can

come back, which says a lot, given that they have an 800,000 voter advantage, registered

voter advantage Democrats do of Republicans in the state. And then he put New York, not as a solid

Democrat state, which it typically is, but as a likely Democrat state. And what does that mean is that

...