It pays to be a bull
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 9 November 2024
⏱️ 8 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
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Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb
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| 0:00.0 | Risk tolerance is a real thing. And I always thought that me buying Apple and holding Apple was like the most safe thing. You know, I entered the corporate world with when I was 20 in my 20s. |
| 0:22.1 | I said, why are you not millionaires? |
| 0:24.3 | This was the simplest strategy ever, just by Apple and by Microsoft and by Netflix and by |
| 0:29.7 | Amazon. |
| 0:30.9 | And they just didn't have the risk tolerance to do it. |
| 0:33.3 | When people are questioned, you know, when they ask me, you know, what's too heavy risk? |
| 0:39.0 | I always say, are you losing sleep at night? |
| 0:41.6 | Because my grandfather taught me if you lose sleep over an investment that you made, get out of the investment. |
| 0:47.8 | It's not worth it. |
| 0:48.9 | Because there's too many safe bets and specifically in today's world with ETFs. |
| 0:56.8 | Why would you lose sleep when you can just put your money into VOO or spy or one of those tools? And history has proven that, |
| 1:04.4 | you know, the eighth wonder of the world, compounding just works. Does the macro side of things |
| 1:10.1 | affect you in any which way? |
| 1:12.2 | Semi. I'm a bullet heart. I mean, you know, Tom Lee, the permable. I think I'm probably |
| 1:17.9 | right in hot, uh, the next in line behind him. But, and I think Josh Brown said it best. |
| 1:23.6 | He said all the analysts, you could just put, you know, in January, you can just say that the S&P will be up 8%. |
| 1:30.8 | And most of the time you're going to be right because that's, I think, the average over a number of years that it's up 8%. |
| 1:38.5 | And you're going to be wrong about 20% of the time. |
| 1:41.8 | But 80% of the time, you're either going to be close to right or you're |
| 1:45.6 | going to greatly underperform, and then you can raise it through the year. And so it just pays to be a |
| 1:52.5 | bull. I think macro, I get a lot of questions from listeners now about the election. I go back and I say, |
| 2:00.0 | look at 2017. Trump won in 2016. Did the market crash in |
... |
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