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Wall Street Breakfast

It pays to be a bull

Wall Street Breakfast

Seeking Alpha

Business News, News, Business, Investing

4.11K Ratings

🗓️ 9 November 2024

⏱️ 8 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Gary Vaughan from Daily Stock Picks highlights ETFs and why setting your risk tolerance as investor is important (0:10). How the macro picture affects his portfolio performance (1:10). Tech earnings: Apple's valuation is concerning, Google monetizing AI, but is Microsoft? High flyers Amazon, Tesla and Palantir (4:00). This is an excerpt from a recent Investing Experts conversation.

Episode transcripts: seekingalpha.com/wsb

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Transcript

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0:00.0

Risk tolerance is a real thing. And I always thought that me buying Apple and holding Apple was like the most safe thing. You know, I entered the corporate world with when I was 20 in my 20s.

0:22.1

I said, why are you not millionaires?

0:24.3

This was the simplest strategy ever, just by Apple and by Microsoft and by Netflix and by

0:29.7

Amazon.

0:30.9

And they just didn't have the risk tolerance to do it.

0:33.3

When people are questioned, you know, when they ask me, you know, what's too heavy risk?

0:39.0

I always say, are you losing sleep at night?

0:41.6

Because my grandfather taught me if you lose sleep over an investment that you made, get out of the investment.

0:47.8

It's not worth it.

0:48.9

Because there's too many safe bets and specifically in today's world with ETFs.

0:56.8

Why would you lose sleep when you can just put your money into VOO or spy or one of those tools? And history has proven that,

1:04.4

you know, the eighth wonder of the world, compounding just works. Does the macro side of things

1:10.1

affect you in any which way?

1:12.2

Semi. I'm a bullet heart. I mean, you know, Tom Lee, the permable. I think I'm probably

1:17.9

right in hot, uh, the next in line behind him. But, and I think Josh Brown said it best.

1:23.6

He said all the analysts, you could just put, you know, in January, you can just say that the S&P will be up 8%.

1:30.8

And most of the time you're going to be right because that's, I think, the average over a number of years that it's up 8%.

1:38.5

And you're going to be wrong about 20% of the time.

1:41.8

But 80% of the time, you're either going to be close to right or you're

1:45.6

going to greatly underperform, and then you can raise it through the year. And so it just pays to be a

1:52.5

bull. I think macro, I get a lot of questions from listeners now about the election. I go back and I say,

2:00.0

look at 2017. Trump won in 2016. Did the market crash in

...

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