In the early morning hours on Saturday, October 7th,

Hamas launched an unprecedented surprise attack into Israel that left the world shocked.

When you look at this attack, there are already people calling it an intelligence failure.

And what I want to flag first and foremost is that there's not enough information yet to confirm

whether or not this was a successful surprise attack on the part of Hamas or an actual intelligence

failure on the part of the Israeli

intelligence service. In this case, Shinbet, their defensive intelligence service. Most people

don't understand how a surprise attack and intelligence failure wouldn't be the same thing. One of the

key things I want to share with you today is the difference between a surprise attack and an

intelligence failure as well as looking

into why it was that Hamas chose this day, of all days, at this time in world history, to launch

this incredible, a bold invasion into Israel. The first question we need to answer is, was this a

successful surprise attack, or was this an intelligence failure?

Based on the information that we have at hand right now, it looks like this was actually a successful surprise attack more so than an intelligence failure, and I'll tell you why.

In order for an intelligence failure to occur, the intelligence leading to a preventative measure must be proven to have been there.

We don't actually know whether or not Israel had presumptive premeditative intelligence to be

able to prevent or predict this surprise attack from Hamas.

All we know is that the attack happened and Israel and the Israeli defense forces were caught

by surprise.

Because of that, that suggests that this was a

successful surprise attack, which means that Hamas and the powers behind Hamas successfully were

able to create and launch an operation in secret. That is the definition of a successful surprise

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