Is the UK in a data crisis?
The Briefing Room
BBC
4.8 • 731 Ratings
🗓️ 16 October 2025
⏱️ 29 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
As Rachel Reeves approaches a tricky budget, her job has got that much harder. Some of our most fundamental economic data, statistics that policymakers are used to accepting at face value, suddenly have major question marks over their accuracy.
The UK’s top stats agency, the Office for National Statistics, finds itself under considerable pressure as falling response rates to its surveys leave politicians flying blind. David Aaronovitch asks what this means for government decisions and how the ONS can rebuild confidence in its most vital statistics.
Guests: Georgina Sturge, research affiliate at the Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford Professor Denise Lievesley, former Principal of Green Templeton College, Oxford Chris Giles, economics commentator at the Financial Times. Peter Lynn, Professor of Survey Methodology at the University of Essex
Presenter: David Aaronovitch Production co-ordinator: Maria Ogundele Producers: Nathan Gower, Kirsteen Knight, Cordelia Hemming Studio engineer: Duncan Hannant Editor: Richard Vadon
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | BBC Sounds, Music, radio, podcasts. |
| 0:08.5 | And it came to pass in those days that they went out a decree from Caesar Augustus |
| 0:15.0 | that the world should be taxed and all went to be taxed everyone to his own city. |
| 0:21.0 | That was an early government census, |
| 0:23.1 | a collection of data necessary for the financing of legions |
| 0:26.5 | and the building of aqueducts. |
| 0:29.1 | But what happens in the infinitely more complex modern world |
| 0:32.5 | if your data collection becomes untrustworthy? |
| 0:36.1 | Because it seems that we may be in that situation here and now, |
| 0:39.9 | particularly in the area of economic statistics. Some even talk of a data crisis. Are we in such a |
| 0:47.0 | crisis? If we are, how worried should we be and what should we do about it? Step into the |
| 0:53.0 | briefing room and together we'll find out. |
| 0:59.6 | First, let's look at the history of data collection in the UK. |
| 1:03.7 | Georgina Sturge is a research affiliate at the Migration Observatory at the University of Oxford |
| 1:08.4 | and the author of the book Some of Us, that sum as in |
| 1:12.1 | S-U-M. |
| 1:13.5 | Georgina Sturge, when did we first start to systematically collect data in the UK? |
| 1:18.4 | Should we start with Doomsday Book, or is it later? |
| 1:21.8 | Well, I would start later, and I'd say that the first systematic data collection really began in the at the very |
| 1:30.0 | beginning of the 19th century. So I really like to market with the 1801 census, the very first |
| 1:36.6 | census that we had. And before that, there were some fairly sporadic data collection efforts, |
| 1:44.1 | including the Doomsday book that you just mentioned. |
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