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The Audio Long Read

Is the IMF fit for purpose?

The Audio Long Read

The Guardian

Society & Culture

4.32.4K Ratings

🗓️ 14 November 2022

⏱️ 37 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

As the world faces the worst debt crisis in decades, the need for a global lender of last resort is clearer than ever. But many nations view the IMF as overbearing, or even neocolonial – and are now looking elsewhere for help. Help support our independent journalism at theguardian.com/longreadpod

Transcript

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0:00.0

This is The Guardian.

0:30.0

The Guardian

0:36.0

Last summer, after months of unusually heavy monsoon rains and temperatures that approached the limits of human survivability,

0:44.0

Pakistan, home to thousands of melting Himalayan glaciers, experienced some of the worst floods in its history.

0:52.0

The most extensive destruction was in the provinces of Sind and Balochistan,

0:58.0

but some estimated that up to a third of the country was submerged.

1:02.0

The floods killed more than 1,700 people and displaced a further 32 million, more than the entire population of Australia.

1:13.0

Some of the country's most fertile agricultural areas became giant lakes, drowning livestock and destroying crops and infrastructure.

1:23.0

The cost of the disaster now runs to tens of billions of dollars.

1:31.0

In late August, as the scale of this catastrophe was becoming clear, the Pakistani government was trying to avert a second disaster.

1:43.0

It was finally reaching a deal with the International Monetary Fund, or IMF, to avoid missing payment on its foreign debt.

1:52.0

Without this agreement, Pakistan would likely have been declared indefault, an event that can spark a recession,

1:59.0

weaken a country's long-term growth, and make it more difficult to borrow at affordable rates in the future.

2:06.0

The terms of the deal were painful. The government was offered a $1.17 billion IMF bailout,

2:14.0

only after it demonstrated a real commitment to undertaking unpopular austerity policies, such as slashing energy subsidies.

2:23.0

But the recent fate of another South Asian country appeared to show what happens if you put off the IMF for too long.

2:30.0

Only weeks before, the Sri Lankan government, shortly after its own default, and after months of refusing to implement IMF-demanded reforms, was overthrown in a popular uprising.

2:44.0

The correlation of Pakistan's crises, exceptionally devastating floods and the threat of economic meltdown, was partly bad luck.

2:53.0

But it was also emblematic of a challenge faced by many countries at the forefront of the climate crisis.

3:00.0

How can they afford to deal with extreme weather events and prepare themselves for the coming disasters,

3:07.0

while suffering under crippling debt loads and facing demands for austerity as the price of relief?

3:14.0

Pakistan and Sri Lanka are only two of the many countries currently facing conditions of severe debt distress.

...

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