Is the Fed done after second straight pause?
Wall Street Breakfast
Seeking Alpha
4.1 • 1K Ratings
🗓️ 1 November 2023
⏱️ 5 minutes
🧾️ Download transcript
Summary
Episode transcripts seekingalpha.com/wsb.
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Show Notes
ISM Manufacturing unexpectedly falls in October as demand stays soft
U.S. Treasury boosts quarterly refunding to $112B of securities
Transcript
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| 0:00.0 | Welcome to Seeking Alpha's Wall Street Lunch, our afternoon update on today's market action news and analysis. |
| 0:11.0 | Good afternoon. Today is Wednesday, November 1st, and I'm your host Kim Khan. |
| 0:15.0 | This is a special Fed Decision episode of Wall Street Lunch. |
| 0:18.0 | No curveballs today. The Federal Open Market Committee kept rates on hold |
| 0:22.0 | in the range of 5.5%. |
| 0:25.5 | The market had priced in more than a 99% chance that the Fed would hold off for the second |
| 0:29.5 | meeting in a row. |
| 0:31.0 | The economic data has been solid recently and some cool inflation signs allowed the FOMC to allow the tightening to keep working through the system. |
| 0:39.0 | The statement was barely changed from the previous meeting, but did add a mention of tighter financial |
| 0:44.0 | conditions. That's likely a reference to the recent surge in longer treasure yields. |
| 0:48.6 | It also tweaked language to acknowledge stronger Q3 growth. In the markets the initial tone was |
| 0:53.8 | definitely bullish for equities and the two-year Treasury yield dropped 10 basis |
| 0:57.3 | points. Bond traders also seemed to tee off the Atlanta Fed's latest GDP now |
| 1:01.6 | forecast which sank to 1.2% for Q3 growth, down from 2.3% a week |
| 1:07.1 | before. |
| 1:08.1 | Atlanta's GDP now has gained some trendiness after a solid prediction of Q3 growth and ended up stealing a little |
| 1:14.4 | FOMC thunder as today's report was delayed until after the Fed decision. But once Fed Chairman |
| 1:20.4 | J. Powell took the mic, the tone in the markets changed. |
| 1:23.2 | Powell said the Fed isn't confident that has reached the stance for 2% inflation |
| 1:27.8 | or that financial conditions were restrictive enough. |
| 1:30.5 | He added that the question the Fed is asking is, should we hike more? |
| 1:35.7 | Pantheon macros Ian Shepperson says, |
... |
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