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Is the Crypto-Native Era Coming to an End? - Lessons from 10 Years in Crypto with Joey Krug, Founders Fund Partner

Bankless

Bankless

Technology, Tech News, News

4.71.2K Ratings

🗓️ 22 December 2025

⏱️ 84 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

Joey Krug (Founders Fund partner, former Pantera co-CIO, and Augur co-founder) returns to unpack whether the “crypto-native era” is fading as institutions and mainstream apps adopt crypto rails without adopting crypto culture.  We dig into prediction markets’ breakout (and why Polymarket finally found product-market fit), the coming regulatory fights around market structure and “insider” edges, and what’s next for founders building in a post-cypherpunk, distribution-first phase of crypto. ------ 📣SPOTIFY PREMIUM RSS FEED | USE CODE: SPOTIFY24  https://bankless.cc/spotify-premium ------ BANKLESS SPONSOR TOOLS: 🔵COINBASE | ETH & BTC BACKED LOANS https://bankless.cc/coinbase-borrow 🪙FRAXNET | MINT, REDEEM, & EARN  https://bankless.cc/fraxnet 🦄UNISWAP | CONTINUOUS CLEARING AUCTIONS  https://bankless.cc/uniswap-cca 🛞MANTLE | GLOBAL HACKATHON 2025 https://bankless.cc/mantle-hackathon 💤EIGHT SLEEP | IMPROVE YOUR SLEEP https://bankless.cc/eight-sleep  ------ TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 5:45 Is Crypto-Native Dead? 16:37 Lessons From Augur 20:29 Prediction Market’s Success 25:24 Just Gambling? 27:50 Prediction Market Regulation 41:03 Founders Fund Polymarket Bet 44:37 FBI Raid 46:47 Founders Fund Crypto Investment Thesis 53:46 DATs 57:02 Layer1 Valuation 1:00:40 ETH Valuation 1:04:32 What Would Joey Build Today? 1:06:13 Crypto x AI 1:10:09 Frontier Tech x Crypto 1:14:26 4-Year Cycles 1:16:16 Less Upside in Crypto Now? 1:19:37 Crypto Privacy 1:20:41 Last & Next Decade 1:23:05 Closing & Disclaimers ------ RESOURCES Joey Krug https://x.com/joeykrug  Augur https://augur.net/  Founders Fund https://foundersfund.com/  ------ Not financial or tax advice. See our investment disclosures here: https://www.bankless.com/disclosures⁠

Transcript

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0:00.0

every single person who interacts with any web service. It's almost always running Linux in the back end. Another lens on this, I guess. If you look at like Polymarket, you basically have, you know, Robin Hood, Coinbase, and then Polymercates like three or four in terms of site traffic. Most of those people don't even know what use is crypto. They're just browsing the site to see what the odds are because they're curious because it informs them in some way throughout their day. And that's like a crypto

0:24.8

product that's, you know, touched millions of people. Most people don't even know it's a crypto product.

0:32.7

Bankless Nation, Joey Krug is a partner in Founders Fund. This is Peter Thal's legendary VC firm. I'm sure you've heard of it.

0:39.1

He was previously the co-CIO at Pantera Capital. And before that, he was the co-founder of Auger. Safe to say, Joey is a crypto-O-G, also an Ethereum OG. It's been a while since we've talked to him. Joey, welcome back to Bankless. Thanks for having me. All right. So it was 2022, actually, when we last

0:55.3

had you on. It was a summer of that year. Thanks for having me. All right. So it was 2022, actually,

0:54.9

when we last had you on. It was a summer of that year. And a lot of things going on that summer,

0:59.4

but SBF was still running the exchange FDX at that time. So the full gravity of that bear market

1:06.5

had not yet hit us. Catch us up since 2022, summer. What have you been doing? Yeah, let's see.

1:13.7

So since then, I ended up, you know, moving over to Founders Fund. I'm one of the partners here.

1:19.4

I spend probably about, you know, two-thirds, 70%, something like that of my time on, on crypto.

1:25.8

Then the other third is just assorted kind of, you know, random interesting stuff that people looped me into, some biotech stuff, some AI stuff, things like that. Is crypto still interesting to you, Joey? Like, what's interesting about it? Yeah, definitely. I mean, I think the thing that interests me about crypto is, if you look at kind of the most broken industries, you know, in the world, in my mind, they've always been, you know, basically three things, you know, the government itself, healthcare and finance. And, um, you know, when I got into crypto, my logic was basically doing something in government seems just really

2:01.6

annoying and tough. Health care is also a lot of bureaucracy and, you know, takes a long time to

2:08.4

make any dent. And, you know, I saw crypto in smart contracts, basically applying sort of the

2:15.1

idea of programmability to financial markets.

2:20.6

I was like, that's an area where you can actually, you know,

2:22.6

have some level of impact on the world.

2:30.4

And, you know, I think it's went both slower and faster than I thought getting into it.

2:32.8

But, yeah, I'm still excited about crypto. You can now borrow USDC against your

2:35.1

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2:39.4

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2:44.0

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2:48.2

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