4.8 • 786 Ratings
🗓️ 11 October 2024
⏱️ 13 minutes
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0:00.0 | Welcome back to The Breakdown with me, NLW. |
0:09.3 | It's a daily podcast on macro, Bitcoin, and the big picture power shifts remaking our world. |
0:18.4 | What's going on, guys? It is Thursday, October 10th, and today we are talking about a Chinese stimulus walkback. |
0:25.3 | Before we get into that, however, if you are enjoying the breakdown, please go subscribe to it, |
0:28.9 | give it a rating, give it a review, or if you want to dive deeper into the conversation, |
0:32.3 | come join us on the breakers discord. You can find a link in the show notes or go to bit.ly slash breakdown pod. |
0:37.7 | On Tuesday, top economic planners in China dashed hopes of a large and continued stimulus. At a |
0:43.2 | public briefing, the National Development and Reform Commission largely reiterated plans to boost |
0:47.3 | investment and support the poorest households. One of the officials said, we are fully |
0:51.4 | confident in achieving the annual economic and social development targets. |
0:55.2 | Substantial new policy was limited to announcing the issuance of ultra-long-term government debt |
0:59.7 | and a general willingness to run fiscal deficits in support of growth targets. Gary Ing, senior |
1:04.2 | economist at Antixis said, nothing much is new compared to the previous announcements, |
1:08.3 | and the latest commitment to fiscal stimulus looks weaker than market expectations. The front-loading of fiscal spending will only help stabilize growth |
1:14.8 | and will not be enough to engineer a sharper rebound. Now, if you've been paying attention |
1:18.6 | to the breakdown, you will know that global investors have been watching these moves in China very |
1:22.3 | closely. A large package of stimulus measures had been announced two weeks ago, just prior to |
1:26.7 | the beginning of a golden week holiday. Among them was a new vehicle to provide $70 billion in central bank |
1:31.3 | liquidity directly to trading firms. Chinese stocks ripped on that news with the benchmark CSI-300 |
1:36.5 | index surging more than 30%. Tuesday's announcement, or rather the lack of announcement, put a halt |
1:41.8 | to the rally. The CSI-300 plunged more than 5% |
1:44.8 | yesterday following the briefing, and Hong Kong stocks had their worst day since 2008, losing 10%. |
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