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Money For the Rest of Us

Is It Better to Rent or Buy a Home?

Money For the Rest of Us

J. David Stein

Investing, Investing Podcast, Business, Economics, Economy

4.5 • 1.4K Ratings

🗓️ 7 June 2023

⏱️ 30 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

How to decide whether to rent a house or apartment or purchase a home or condo. What has been the financial return from owning a house?

Topics covered include:

  • How much have home prices increased in major cities since 1980
  • What drove the greater than 50% jump in home prices in some U.S. cities since 2020
  • Why there aren't more new starter homes
  • What will it take for the housing shortage to abate so houses can be more affordable
  • Why now could be a more advantageous time to rent versus buy
  • What academics estimate the long-term return is for owning a house, and why the calculations are incomplete
  • How to determine what your total cost of ownership is for buying a house in order to compare it to renting


For more information on this episode click here.

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Show Notes

The housing theory of everything by John Myers & Ben Southwood & Sam Bowman—Works in Progress

Irish property: the boom that shows no signs of slowing by Jude Webber—The Financial Times

Whatever Happened to the Starter Home? by Emily Badger—The New York Times

The Housing Revolution Is Coming by M. Nolan Gray—The Atlantic

In Today’s Housing Market, It’s Timing Over Location by Joe Pinsker—The Wall Street Journal

The Rate of Return on Real Estate: Long-Run Micro-Level Evidence by David Chambers, Christophe Spaenjers, and Eva Steiner—Oxford Academic

The Rate of Return on Everything, 1870–2015 by Òscar Jordà, Katharina Knoll, Dmitry Kuvshinov, Moritz Schularick, and Alan M. Taylor—National Bureau of Economic Research


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Transcript

Click on a timestamp to play from that location

0:00.0

Walk on a money for the rest of us. This is a personal finance show on money, how it works,

0:05.6

how to invest in how to live without worrying about it. I'm your host, David Stein.

0:10.8

Today is episode 435. It's titled, Is it Better to Rent or Buy a House?

0:17.8

The last few weeks LaPrile and I have been traveling. We came from Tucson to Idaho and then we've

0:23.2

taken a trip over to the Oregon coast. I usually take an early morning walk wherever I am.

0:29.6

So I've taken early morning walks in Sedona, Santa Fe,

0:33.9

Afton Wyoming, Boise, Idaho, and then a number of towns in Oregon, including Bend,

0:39.6

Corvallis, Medford, and Klamath Falls. That's just in the last month. Generally, I just am

0:45.2

admiring the houses, admiring the neighborhoods, the nature. And for the most part,

0:50.3

because I'm walking so early, there's not a whole lot of people outside walking. Sometimes,

0:55.4

there'll be some runners or individuals walking their dog, but mostly it's me and individuals

1:02.4

experiencing homelessness that tend to be out walking very early. Now, there are multiple reasons

1:09.4

for homelessness and that isn't the topic of today's episode. But one of the primary drivers

1:16.0

is the huge jump in housing cost and rent, particularly in large cities. There was a

1:25.0

article by three analysts, John Myers, Ben Southward, and Sam Bowman, and their thesis was

1:32.4

housing cost are the root of many societal problems. And they give evidence of how a lack of housing

1:41.1

is driving up prices over the past 40 years. They pull data that shows that average New York City

1:47.6

house rose 706 percent since 1980 compared to 376 percent for US consumer prices. So double

1:57.0

the rate of inflation. San Francisco has seen their houses increase 932 percent since 1980.

2:04.6

In London, home prices are up over 21 hundred percent in the last 40 years. 1450 percent

2:12.0

increase in Sydney, Australia, and in Ireland. Over that same period, we've seen home prices there

2:19.6

increase 800 percent. Now, the rents have also jumped significantly over that same period.

...

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