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Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Is Inflation the Only Thing That Matters Right Now?

Real Vision: Finance & Investing

Real Vision

Business News, Business, Investing, News

4.11.1K Ratings

🗓️ 13 April 2022

⏱️ 34 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

The Bureau of Labor Statistics’ report on the producer price index for March showed the biggest month-over-month and year-over-year gains on record, 1.4% and 11.2%, respectively, as inflation continues to dominate the discourse. The PPI data follow the hottest consumer price index reading in 40 years, 8.5%. As the Federal Reserve continues to try to convince markets and consumers it’s serious about tightening monetary conditions and reining in spiraling prices, policymakers in China and Japan press on with accommodation. Our man in Japan, Weston Nakamura, joins Maggie Lake at the top of today’s Real Vision Daily Briefing to talk about the Japanese yen’s role in the global financial system and the worrying signals he’s seeing in forex markets. Then, Maggie welcomes Darius Dale, founder and CEO of 42 Macro, to talk about the Fed, markets, and inflation as we head into a critical earnings-reporting season. Want to submit questions? Drop them right here on the Exchange: https://rvtv.io/3EeUTF4 Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

Transcript

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0:00.0

Hi there, everyone. Welcome to the Real Vision Daily briefing. It's Wednesday, April 13th. I'm Maggie Lake,

0:10.0

here with Darius Dale, founder of 42 Macro, and we are joined live by my colleague,

0:15.7

Weston Nakamura. For those of you who follow Weston on Twitter, you know he's been all over

0:20.4

this year's story and the Japanese currency broke through some pretty significant levels today.

0:24.7

So he was nice enough to get up early. I always think I'm going to say, stay up late,

0:28.7

get up early. I'm not sure it matters Weston because you never sleep these days because you

0:32.8

you're all over this story. So what do we need to know? What's going on?

0:37.4

Yeah, thanks for allowing me to interrupt you once again, Darius.

0:42.0

I love it, man. You're my eyes on the sky.

0:44.6

Yeah, Japan blows up every time, you know, you're on the daily briefing. So, you know, delayed

0:52.0

indicator, but yeah, so just very quickly. So, Dalian, as we know, the yen has been getting crushed.

1:01.0

The yen actually year to date is the second worst performing currency and it's second just by a

1:08.5

hair to the Turkish Alira. And if you actually do it from March, it is the worst performing currency

1:14.4

and that includes the Russian rubble as well. So, Dalian broke through a very key level,

1:20.4

125 86 just after Japan cash closed today. That was that was level that was tested a few times failed

1:28.4

or, you know, held, but it failed today. And then you saw an immediate jump into Dalian in the

1:32.5

126 handle for a two-decade high. So the significance of 125 86 is that that is the high

1:39.9

print of BOJ governor Kuroda's tenure. So Brian on chart one. If you take a look at this chart,

1:48.4

it's basically, you know, that 125 86 was made back in 2015, shortly before the August 2015

1:56.1

China U1 Devel. But basically from 2013, Kuroda took Dalian from under 80 to 125 86 since like

2:02.0

6% move in two years. After hitting that level, Dalian, you know, fell as low as like it broke

2:06.8

below 100 on Brexit Day in 2016, but basically kind of just me ended around. But, you know, right now,

...

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