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Cato Podcast

Is Federal Reserve Action Irrelevant to Inflation Expectations?

Cato Podcast

Cato Institute

News, Libertarian, News Commentary, Government, Policy, Cato, Peace, Markets, 424708, Immigration, Defense, Politics

4.5979 Ratings

🗓️ 8 December 2016

⏱️ 14 minutes

🧾️ Download transcript

Summary

When the Federal Reserve governors meet next week, will their decisions have any impact on the real economy? And could any Trump-selected Fed governors help? Jerry Jordan and Gerald P. O'Driscoll, Jr. comment.

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Transcript

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0:00.0

This is the Cato Daily Podcast for Thursday, December 8th, 2016.

0:05.0

I'm Caleb Brown.

0:06.0

When the Federal Reserve governors meet next week, it's not clear what they can do.

0:10.0

That from Jerry Jordan, former head of the Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank and Jerry Odriscoll, former Vice President, its Citigroup, and a senior fellow at the Cato Institute.

0:19.0

In effect, they argue the Fed has effectively painted itself into a corner.

0:23.3

We spoke during the Cato Institute's monetary conference in November.

0:27.0

I'll start with you, Jerry Jordan.

0:28.6

Why do you argue that the Federal Reserve actions that might or might not be taken in December are irrelevant to what we should expect with respect to inflation.

0:40.4

Well, the actions that are able to take now are only on the liability side of the Federal

0:46.8

Reserves balance sheet, meaning the interest rates that they pay on commercial banks,

0:51.7

on the reserve deposits and on a collateralized borrowing from

0:56.4

commercial banks and neither of those interest rates are connected to

1:00.9

anything else.

1:02.8

The only thing that is certain when the Federal Reserve raises the interest rate at

1:07.5

pays banks and reserves is that the budget deficit goes up.

1:11.9

There's a transfer of money from taxpayers to the stockholders of banks,

1:17.0

from taxpayers to the government-sponsored enterprises like Jenny May, Fannie Mae, and there's to transfer to mutual funds around the world, foreign as well as domestic.

1:29.0

So increasing the budget deficit is not normally thought of as being a restrictive monetary policy.

1:36.2

Taking taxpayers money and giving it to a whole lot of people in the financial sector is not thought

1:41.9

of as being restrictive, and it's not clear

1:44.9

that raising those interest rates paid to all those people does anything to the

1:49.5

national economy. All right so how do we get here to this place where paying reserves on bank interest on bank deposit reserves?

...

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