Hello and welcome to episode four of Not Another One with me, Steve Richards, Tim Montgomery,

Miranda Green and Ian Martin.

Thank you so much for tuning in and thank you to

our sponsors, Get Living, who we will hear a bit more about later on in the podcast. Now, as you know,

if you have listened to the previous ones and if not, welcome. We like to delve deep, pose a question, and address it from our very different perspectives.

And later on, we're going to do that with the question, where is the underlying sea change happening in British politics?

Tim Montgomery tweeted earlier this week, what he saw as an irony that the country's voting

labour, but are the underlying tidal waves moving rightwards? I argued, I mentioned it briefly

last week, and still believe that the underlying tidal wave is to the left and has been for a long time.

So that's what we're going to kind of explore when we get to that point.

But so much is happening in this election that we need to do a quick survey, our quick take

of where we are with less than two weeks to go, looking at Tory and Labour in the smaller

parties as well. Miranda, the Tories,

remain in an extraordinary position if most recent polls are right. They face a kind of decimation.

Is that your assessment that the thing since we last gathered a week ago has got

even worse for them? So I think if polling day was next Thursday rather than two Thursday's time,

I'd be happier making a sort of enormously secure prediction on a Tory wipeout.

I think that that is still the probability, but there are quite a few days to go.

And I have to say, as a sort of veteran watcher of the last few elections where campaigns have actually slightly shifted things,

there's a small part of me that just wonders if the Tory party, I mean, it looks unlikely

given all the chaos in the campaign, but if they can just pull out of the bag some sort

of tried and tested fear factor final week campaign that scares enough centrist voters across the south of England to save a few more seats and make the result look a little bit more respectable than a kind of extinction level event.

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